馬龍

供應緊縮 沙國大幅上調全球7月油價

華視

2020年6月8日 下午7:00

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4 則留言

/ 綜合報導

全球油價將上漲！在原油供應緊縮的影響下，沙烏地阿美石油公司宣布，將上調全球所有地區，7月份的原油價格。以沙烏地阿拉伯為首的石油輸出國家組織以及其他產油國，日前召開視訊會議，同意把4月達成的歷史性減產協議，延長到7月底，也就是承諾從5月1號起到6月底，每天減產原油970萬桶，並從7月開始，逐步縮減到每天減產770萬桶，直到年底。

在確認延長減產規模後，沙烏地阿美石油公司，決定上調對全球所有市場的原油售價，像是對亞洲客戶，阿拉伯輕質原油官方售價，比六月售價上調到每桶6.1美元，讓油價再出現波動。

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馬龍

油價：海灣國家表態停止額外減產，布蘭特期油週一急跌3.6%，紐約油下挫3.4%

財訊快報

陳孟朔

2020年6月9日 上午7:40

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留言

【財訊快報／陳孟朔】石油輸出國家和產油盟國(OPEC+)同意延長減產協議執行期，但沙烏地阿拉伯、科威特和阿聯酋表示不打算將118萬桶/日的自願額外減產延長到6月底之後，衝衝衝的油價週一升勢急踩煞車，紐約期油和布蘭特期油同步回吐逾3%，雙雙自三個月高點跌落。但紐約期油在拉回前，一度衝破40美元阻力。

連七紅的布蘭特8月期油週一挫跌1.50美元或3.6%，結算價報每桶40.80美元，前七個交易日大漲6.85美元或19.3%。同日，紐約7月期油跌1.36美元或3.4%，為五個交易日首黑，收報每桶38.19美元，前四個交易日急漲4.11美元或11.6%，日高在40.44美元為3月6日以來最高。

OPEC、俄羅斯與其他產油國週六同意，將創紀錄減產協議延長至7月底，這項減產協議將全球原油供應削減近10%。

但沙烏地阿拉伯能源大臣阿卜杜勒阿齊茲親王週一表示，沙國及其海灣盟友科威特和阿聯酋將在7月停止自願額外減產。

Rystad Energy分析師Bjornar Tonhaugen表示，「在我們看到出現供應短缺的時候，總計近1,100萬桶/日的自願減產延長一個月，這太好，不可能是真的。」

與此同時，隨著油價反彈，『美國頁岩油生產商已經開始重啟此前關閉的油井』。

分析師們表示，這可能會削弱脆弱的需求復甦，並破壞OPEC支撐油價的努力。此外，沙國提高原油售價，因預計需求會增強。

全球最大原油進口國中國表示，5月原油進口量創紀錄，為1,130萬桶/日。

https://www.google.com/search?sxsrf=ALeKk03og-_es14Bevax8CrYU-gmZOKaQA%3A1591839352610&ei=eIrhXvDvJLnFmAWuooHQDQ&q=Gubio+Nigeria+time+zone&oq=Gubio+Nigeria+time+zone&gs_lcp=CgZwc3ktYWIQAzoECCMQJzoECAAQHjoFCCEQoAE6BwghEAoQoAFQvydYo0hg7UpoAHAAeACAAUmIAcgIkgECMjGYAQCgAQGqAQdnd3Mtd2l6&sclient=psy-ab&ved=0ahUKEwjwi5vZz_jpAhW5IqYKHS5RANoQ4dUDCAw&uact=5

馬龍

有鬼！產量、庫存都增加，價格不跌反漲！

有心人在佈局，等著準備要傾家蕩產的人跳進來，引君入甕！

小心哪～～

（流浪占星師 馬龍 6-11-2020）

雖美原油庫存創紀錄高位 國際油價仍收高

2020/06/11 08:53

https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3194220

馬龍

憂爆第二波疫情 金價逼近8年新高

華視

2020年6月23日 下午12:57

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留言

台北市 / 綜合報導

世界衛生組織週日宣布，全球超過18萬3千人確診，這是新冠病毒疫情爆發以來，最高單日新增確診人數。緊接著南韓週一宣布，第二波疫情到來，不少投資者擔心經濟前景，因此提高了黃金的避險需求。

現在金價突破每盎司1750美元的水準，今年以來截至6月19日，全球黃金的持倉累計增加了683公噸，其中北美市場的持倉增加427公噸，歐洲市場也增加了219公噸，亞洲以及其他地區分別增加了23公噸與13公噸。金價今年已上漲15%，逼近2012年以來的最高水平。

https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E6%86%82%E7%88%86%E7%AC%AC%E4%BA%8C%E6%B3%A2%E7%96%AB%E6%83%85-%E9%87%91%E5%83%B9%E9%80%BC%E8%BF%918%E5%B9%B4%E6%96%B0%E9%AB%98-045700339.html

馬龍

扯！中國珠寶商貸款680億 黃金擔保竟是「假的」

2020/06/29 17:48   

中國爆出企業醜聞，有珠寶商被多間金融機構發現，提供的黃金擔保竟是假黃金。（示意圖，彭博）

〔財經頻道／綜合報導〕在那斯達克上市的中國大型黃金首飾製造商「武漢金鳳珠寶」近5年來頻頻尋求融資，以83公噸的黃金作為擔保，向10幾間主要為信託公司的金融機構貸款160億人民幣（約新台幣677.6億元），但後來多間機構發現自己被「坑慘」了，原來這些黃金，居然是銅鍍金的假黃金。

《財新》報導，金鳳珠寶提供假黃金作擔保的事情，最早是因為金鳳在2019年底違約，東莞信託在今年2月清點擔保品的時候，發現這些黃金居然是假的，此事震撼中國信託界，金鳳的最大債主，中國民生信託得到法院批准，提前檢驗那些黃金擔保，在5月下旬的時候檢驗結果出爐，那些黃金也是假的。

除了東莞信託及中國民生信託以外，還有恆豐銀行及另外1間機構在檢驗後發現，作為擔保的黃金是假的。

另外，目前也尚未確定金鳳珠寶用於擔保的黃金，是一開始就是偽造品，或在抵押後被調包，因為東莞信託及中國民生信託均表示，黃金在存入銀行之前曾經過第三方檢驗，而銀行也沒有這些黃金存入後，曾被提領過的紀錄。

金鳳珠寶之所以要尋求這麼多融資，主因是為了收購企業的股權，但有來自湖北的消息人士透露，近年來金鳳的業務其實不如表面上看來的穩定，消息人士向《財新》聲稱「我們都知道他根本沒有那麼多黃金，他擁有的只是一些銅」，因此「湖北當地幾乎沒有信託或銀行業者，願意與金鳳有金融上的往來」。

而確實的，公開的資料顯示，金鳳珠寶向中國10幾間機構尋求融資，但幾乎沒有機構來自湖北。

目前中國當局已介入調查此事，而數間信託公司也聯合發動訴訟以捍衛自己的權利。

https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3212165

馬龍

避險需求助攻 黃金現貨近九年來首次漲破1,800美元

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追蹤

編譯林奕榮／綜合外電

2020年7月9日 上午6:24

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留言

今年以來黃金的吸引力持續增強，主因投資人在新冠疫情重創經濟之際尋求避風港，推升避險需求。

黃金現貨8日上漲逾1%，報每英兩1,813.52美元，自2011年11月以來首次突破每英兩1,800美元。今年以來，黃金現貨上漲約20%。

紐約黃金期貨今年來上漲逾19%，8日早盤一度上漲0.95%，報每英兩1827.1美元。

彭博新聞分析，如果突破1,800美元的走勢能維持下去，便可能足以吸引動能交易員的興趣，進而推升金價至歷史新高，站上1,920美元。

疫情對經濟的衝擊，促使各國央行推出規模龐大的刺激方案，也使資金持續流向黃金ETF。美國多州的疫情感染病例和死亡人數7日升至紀錄高點，亞特蘭大聯邦準備銀行總裁波斯提克（Raphael Bostic）表示，疫情升溫可能危及美國經濟復甦步調；這些消息，均對金價提供支撐。

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馬龍

國際熱錢避險 黃金上看2000美元

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洪凱音／台北報導

2020年7月8日 上午4:10

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28 則留言

熱錢大挪移，全球疫情第2波來襲、國際地緣政治緊繃，諸多不確定因素交錯下，推升金價行情高漲，目前已攀上9年新高；瑞銀看好「避險一哥」黃金特質，將下半年金價的預測值從1800美元調高至1900美元，高盛也預期將突破2011年、1920美元高點，直指2000美元大關；瑞士鑄金商龐博集團（MKS PAMP Group）預期，黃金多頭走勢可維持至2021上半年。

北市金銀珠寶商業同業公會榮譽理事長李文欽說，「鈔票印太多、貨幣將貶值」，大家擔心鈔票遭稀釋，不要美元了，加上存款利率趨近於零、實體經濟又不太好，泡沫愈吹愈大，黃金成了錢太多、沒地方去的投資工具，預估年底前金價上看2000美元。

美國知名外匯經紀商分析師安達（Oanda）表示，股市是目前最大風險變數，第2波疫情興起，可能導致全球經濟再次停擺，預期將有更多資金湧入包含黃金在內的避險性資產。

元大投信黃金研究團隊分析，疫情讓美國聯準會（Fed）貨幣政策轉向寬鬆，聯準會主席鮑威爾更指出，聯準會中短期內應維持寬鬆貨幣政策，國際主要央行一同吹起「降息風」，也令美元指數缺乏大漲動能，不論是低利率環境，抑或弱勢美元格局，都有助對金價形成支撐。

元大投信坦言，金價已攀上9年新高，隨疫情壟罩全球，美國單日新增病例數創紀錄，提升了2度封鎖關閉的可能性，國際政經情勢也不樂觀，在眾多不確定因素影響下，金價中長線仍看多，金價拉回之際，反而是投資人逢低進場的好時機；李文欽認為，黃金佔資產配置5％至10％最恰當，現在當「買份保險」、分散資產風險。

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馬龍

國際金價飆破1900美元

中國時報

7.5k 人追蹤

追蹤

洪凱音／台北報導

2020年7月26日 上午4:10

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1 則留言

陸美外交衝突升溫，避險資金湧入黃金市場，國際金價周五盤中飆破1900美元大關，創下2011年以來新高；台北市金銀珠寶商業同業公會榮譽理事長李文欽預估，歐美大戶股票獲利後，都轉買黃金了，預估國際金價下周就有突破歷史高點1920美元的機會。

李文欽分析，黃金數量有限、產量有限，在美國聯準會狂印鈔票、利率逼近於零的情況下，只有終極貨幣之稱、具避險地位的黃金最有價值；李文欽觀察，最近亞洲民眾是狂「賣」黃金，趁勢獲利了結，但西方國家的大戶有錢人，感受到寬鬆貨幣、美元貶值的壓力，股市獲利資金轉往黃金市場，把黃金當「保險」買。

瑞銀最新報告指出，整體大環境有利於黃金走勢，全面上調黃金預測值，今年9月底、12月底均上調2000美元，高於原先預測的1900美元，上修100美元。

瑞銀分析，隨著美國大選逼近，陸美緊張局勢升溫，以及新冠疫情二次來襲的壓力，加上低率環境下，黃金作為投資組合多元化工具的表現出色；此外，市場對通膨的憂慮（美國實際利率下滑）和美元走勢看疲，都有利於下半年繼續拉抬黃金價格，但明年央行寬鬆力度到達頂點，將會使得金價承壓。

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馬龍

金價：避險買盤推動，紐約期金週二大漲1.75%，盤中觸及2,037美元創高

財訊快報

17.4k 人追蹤

追蹤

2020年8月5日 下午4:21

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留言

【財訊快報／劉敏夫】黃金價格週二上揚，盤中觸及紀錄高點，因超低利率環境和對美國推出更多刺激措施以保護受疫情打擊的經濟的期待，增強了避險黃金的吸引力。

紐約12月份黃金期貨價格上揚34.70美元或1.75%，報每盎司2,021.00美元，盤中價格一度觸及2,037.70美元，創下新高。

紐約黃金現貨價格上揚42.22美元或2.14%，報每盎司2,019.21美元，盤中價格一度升至2,019.92美元，為歷年高點。

渣打銀行分析師Suki Cooper表示，避險買盤推動現貨金價首次突破2,000美元，因美元試探兩年多的低點，負實際利率跌至2013年的水準，且對進一步刺激計畫的預期持續升溫。

Suki Cooper表示，鑒於價格上漲速度之快，短暫回檔的風險已經上升。同時，由於宏觀背景仍異常有利，風險平衡仍偏向上揚。

美國參議院民主黨領袖表示，白宮和國會民主黨領袖的會談終於朝著「正確的方向」邁進，雙方試圖就一項重大的疫情救援議案達成一致共識。

今年以來，金價已經飆升了32%，主要受降息和全球央行為緩解疫情對經濟的衝擊而實施的大規模刺激措施的支撐。

經紀商OANDA高級市場分析師Edward Moya表示，到今年年底，金價可能會升至每盎司2,300美元的水準。

Edward Moya指出，美國公債市場發出了強烈信號，顯示這種較低的利率環境將持續下去。過去10年，美債一直比黃金有優勢，但現在情況並非如此，將看到投資者的主要關注點是黃金。

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馬龍

《國際油價》利多消息提振 美國原油期貨反彈近1.8%

時報資訊

2020年8月11日 上午9:42

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留言

【時報記者王聖為綜合報導】利多消息提振，美國原油期貨反彈近1.8%；沙烏地阿拉伯國營石油公司沙烏地阿美(Saudi Aramco)針對需求面發表樂觀言論，主要因數據顯示中國工廠活動正逐步恢復到疫情前的水平，且受惠於亞洲區域原油需求回溫，目前全球原油需求水準於每日9000萬桶徘徊，與疫情前每日1億桶的需求差距不大，有利於原油市場回復正常供需結構，並表示對亞洲原油需求展望樂觀。

此外，OPEC+成員國伊拉克承諾會擴大原油減產，伊拉克於上周五(7日)表示，預計將在8月和9月每日額外減產40萬桶，以彌補過去三個月的過度生產，此舉將有助於伊拉克履行石油輸出國組織OPEC與盟國組成的OPEC+所達成的減產協議中設定的減產份額。其中美國原油漲幅1.8%，倫敦原油漲幅1.3%。

周一(10日)美國NYMEX-9月輕質原油期貨上漲0.72美元，報每桶41.94美元；9月熱燃油漲0.02美元，報每加侖1.24美元；9月RBOB汽油漲0.02美元，報每加侖1.23美元；倫敦ICE-10月布蘭特原油期貨上漲0.59美元，報每桶44.99美元。(商品行情網)

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