馬龍

馬龍

剛剛

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請問各位天線比較高的朋友們，南海發生了什麼事？先是雷根航母戰鬥群緊急折返，又有台灣立榮在香港上空被阻折返？只為了習近平南巡嗎？還是有什麼緊急事故正在發生著？

馬龍

美軍機飛海峽中線 政治味濃

中時新聞網

33k 人追蹤

追蹤

呂昭隆／台北報導

2020年10月9日 上午4:10

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42 則留言

在大陸外交部說，兩岸之間不存在所謂「海峽中線」後，國防部昨表示，除1架美軍特戰運輸機昨沿著海峽中線，由北向南飛行外，1架共軍運8反潛機再度闖入我西南防空識別區遭驅離。值此敏感時機，美軍機從頭飛到尾的動作被視為具有高度政治象徵，有網友打趣地說，「主審來了，把大陸擦掉的中線，重畫一遍。」

台海熱鬧 美陸都飛來

經常分享全球軍機動態的「CANUK78」推特昨午披露，1架美軍MC-130J特戰運輸機，上午11時出現在台灣海峽中線，並由北向南飛行。

去年8月29日，美軍MC-130J型特種作戰運輸機，也曾在上午11時沿台海中線由北朝南飛，國防部曾發布新聞稿並指出，全程監控，期間並無異常狀況。其後，美特戰運輸機多次沿著海峽中線飛行。

沖繩起飛 由北向南行

美軍MC-130J型機是美製C-130型運輸機的衍生機種，我空軍也有購入，可用於特種作戰，運載特種部隊進行滲透，也可進行空中加油，機上配備先進的夜視系統、地形跟蹤雷達和電子干擾設備。日本沖繩嘉手納美軍基地部署有MC-130J運輸機。一般判斷，昨天飛中線的這架特戰機，即由嘉手納空軍基地起飛。

美國務次卿柯拉克9月17日訪台3天，共機在9月18日、19日兩度飛越海峽中線，是1996年台海危機、兩國論後，最嚴重軍事挑釁動作。我方戰機進行驅離動作時，向對方喊話「你已飛過海峽中線，立刻轉向脫離」，對方飛行員則回「沒有海峽中線」。軍方官員說，這就像打籃球，兩邊球員說些垃圾話。

飛行員互喊話 像打籃球

針對海峽中線爭議，大陸外交部發言人汪文斌日前說，「不存在所謂海峽中線。」美方也注意到大陸的新說法，美國務卿蓬佩奧前天在東京受訪就表示，美國絕不會坐視北京武統台灣。國防部長嚴德發更在立法院質詢時，拿出數據說明我空軍出動應對共機的架次，其目的就是為維持海峽中線。

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馬龍

解放軍4海域同時軍演 升高對台美施壓

中央社

20.6k 人追蹤

追蹤

The Central News Agency 中央通訊社

2020年9月29日 上午12:32

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148 則留言

（中央社東京28日綜合外電報導）中國海事局28日宣布，人民解放軍正在南海、東海、黃海和渤海4海域同時展開軍事演習，禁止船隻在演習海域航行。國營中央電視台公布中國東部戰區最近設想街頭巷戰的演習影片。

產經新聞報導，演習目的明顯是在加強牽制台灣和美國。

報導稱，在南海的演習是在西沙群島周邊海域實施，東海、黃海和渤海的演習則分別在浙江省、江蘇省、遼寧省沿岸海域展開。

街頭巷戰演習則是由基地設在台灣對面福建省的第73集團軍執行，被視為對台灣的登陸作戰演習。根據中央電視台公布的影片，於出動無人機偵察後，解放軍部隊進攻城鎮，且為了演習特別搭建了圖書館和電影院等超過100棟建築物。

報導又說，美軍幹部最近發表論文，提議美軍部隊重新留駐台灣，引發中國反彈。中國官媒環球時報25日警告稱「美軍駐台即意味戰爭」，意圖牽制美國。（譯者：劉學源）1090929

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馬龍

陸東部戰區軍演 爆射10枚東風-11

旺報

651 人追蹤

追蹤

記者張國威╱綜合報導

2020年9月25日 上午4:10

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250 則留言

大陸解放軍東部戰區、南部戰區近日軍演頻繁，除了派機跨越海峽中線，及在沿海地帶實施海空協同演練外，火箭軍及陸軍炮兵也都在進行實戰演練。大陸官媒報導指出，主要對台的東部戰區火箭軍於近日在野外實彈發射了10枚東風-11A彈道飛彈；南部戰區合成炮兵旅也奔赴西北大漠進行火箭炮實彈軍演。

《解放軍報》官方微博於24日罕見發布影片報導稱，「東部戰區」火箭軍某飛彈旅於近日在野外駐訓場實彈演練。演訓畫面顯示，該旅發射車到達發射陣地後，齊射了10枚東風-11A彈道飛彈，演練毀滅目標機堡、跑道。《解放軍報》並在微博上標注「時刻準備戰鬥」。

對台部署 針對意味濃

解放軍火箭軍近日來組織多起夜間公路隨機發射演練，及模擬戰場環境下的夜間對抗演練，演練遭遇敵飛彈打擊處置，及敵特種部隊滲透生化攻擊。相關軍媒發布的照片及影片顯示，火箭軍這段期間夜間演訓所使用的彈種多為東風-11A。

值得注意的是，《解放軍報》24日發布的影片有別以往，以往火箭軍演訓由於機敏性質，相關報導皆不會指明是哪一戰區的火箭軍部隊，但《解放軍報》此次發布火箭軍齊射10枚東風-11A的影片，直接點名演練的就是主要對台的東部戰區火箭軍，針對意味相當濃厚。

南部戰區 亦頻繁演訓

對台主力之一的南部戰區演訓同樣頻繁，央視軍事23日晚報導，南部戰區陸軍第75集團軍某合成旅於近日奔赴西北大漠進行實彈射擊，探索炮兵分隊在實戰環境下的打法，這次演練該炮兵分隊還實彈射擊了某新型彈種對目標區域火力摧毀。畫面顯示，該旅分兩批實彈射擊了近程及長程火箭砲。

報導同時指出，南部戰區海軍某驅護艦編隊於近日進行了72小時的演訓，模擬艦艇編隊遭到敵機打擊等特情，錘鍊艦指揮官能力，由052D型飛彈驅逐艦昆明艦、052C型飛彈驅逐艦海口艦、056A型飛彈護衛艦惠州艦組成的驅護編隊，在演訓裡還用艦砲對海島目標進行實彈打擊，並有潛艦部隊在水下參與演訓。

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陸東部戰區軍演 爆射10枚東風-11

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記者張國威╱綜合報導

2020年9月25日 上午4:10

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250 則留言

大陸解放軍東部戰區、南部戰區近日軍演頻繁，除了派機跨越海峽中線，及在沿海地帶實施海空協同演練外，火箭軍及陸軍炮兵也都在進行實戰演練。大陸官媒報導指出，主要對台的東部戰區火箭軍於近日在野外實彈發射了10枚東風-11A彈道飛彈；南部戰區合成炮兵旅也奔赴西北大漠進行火箭炮實彈軍演。

《解放軍報》官方微博於24日罕見發布影片報導稱，「東部戰區」火箭軍某飛彈旅於近日在野外駐訓場實彈演練。演訓畫面顯示，該旅發射車到達發射陣地後，齊射了10枚東風-11A彈道飛彈，演練毀滅目標機堡、跑道。《解放軍報》並在微博上標注「時刻準備戰鬥」。

對台部署 針對意味濃

解放軍火箭軍近日來組織多起夜間公路隨機發射演練，及模擬戰場環境下的夜間對抗演練，演練遭遇敵飛彈打擊處置，及敵特種部隊滲透生化攻擊。相關軍媒發布的照片及影片顯示，火箭軍這段期間夜間演訓所使用的彈種多為東風-11A。

值得注意的是，《解放軍報》24日發布的影片有別以往，以往火箭軍演訓由於機敏性質，相關報導皆不會指明是哪一戰區的火箭軍部隊，但《解放軍報》此次發布火箭軍齊射10枚東風-11A的影片，直接點名演練的就是主要對台的東部戰區火箭軍，針對意味相當濃厚。

南部戰區 亦頻繁演訓

對台主力之一的南部戰區演訓同樣頻繁，央視軍事23日晚報導，南部戰區陸軍第75集團軍某合成旅於近日奔赴西北大漠進行實彈射擊，探索炮兵分隊在實戰環境下的打法，這次演練該炮兵分隊還實彈射擊了某新型彈種對目標區域火力摧毀。畫面顯示，該旅分兩批實彈射擊了近程及長程火箭砲。

報導同時指出，南部戰區海軍某驅護艦編隊於近日進行了72小時的演訓，模擬艦艇編隊遭到敵機打擊等特情，錘鍊艦指揮官能力，由052D型飛彈驅逐艦昆明艦、052C型飛彈驅逐艦海口艦、056A型飛彈護衛艦惠州艦組成的驅護編隊，在演訓裡還用艦砲對海島目標進行實彈打擊，並有潛艦部隊在水下參與演訓。

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馬龍

台北天空轟隆轟隆響 港媒：台海「10月驚奇」恐非空穴來風

中時新聞網

32.5k 人追蹤

追蹤

黃麗蓉

2020年9月25日 上午1:08

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541 則留言

國慶預演，雷虎、F16飛越總統府。（圖／杜宜諳攝）

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台北24日一早天空轟隆轟隆響，民眾驚呼是不是解放軍飛機進了台北？蔡英文、台灣國防部都急忙澄清，是雙十慶典預演。港媒分析認為，此氛圍可以感受到台海「10月驚奇」，恐非空穴來風。

根據香港媒體《中評社》分析，台海「10月驚奇」是美國總統川普為了連任，最近加碼大甩鍋，沒人可預期還會拋出什麼震撼彈。外界揣測不外是突然宣布提升台美外交關係、正式駐軍台灣、更高階官員訪台、美國軍機或軍艦入台、製造衝突引發台海擦槍走火等等。只要上面任何一項發生，就是大事了。

港媒甚至認為，外交部長吳釗燮接受美國全國公共電台（NPR）訪問時，否認要尋求台美建交，也說若與中國大陸發生衝突，台灣不會依靠美國干預。吳釗燮這些話，可能是民進黨政府講給大陸聽的，代表強硬無比的民進黨政府主動放軟，間接向中國大陸表達不會踩紅線；也突顯台灣研判川普真的有可能在10月做出驚天動地、而台灣無法控制的事。

港媒指出，從民進黨政府最近一連串因應作為，可看到台灣被川普的「10月驚奇」拖下水的可能性不小，相關部門都在做準備了。

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馬龍

美完成開戰準備 學者：等中共第一槍

三立新聞網 setn.com

55.3k 人追蹤

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三立新聞網

2020年9月14日 下午4:05

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15 則留言

國際中心／綜合報導

近日網路盛傳，解放軍兩棲部隊在南海操演，包圍我東沙島，後經國防部澄清，雖有共機擾台，但無共軍包圍東沙島。對此，總體經濟學家吳嘉隆今（14）日分析東沙危機的幕後角力，他認為，對美國來講，開戰的準備工作基本完成，只等中共開第一槍，然後印度、日本、澳洲都會出兵，與美軍一起行動。

美軍航母尼米茲號。（圖／翻攝美國太平洋艦隊臉書）

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吳嘉隆指出，中共對台灣所控制的東沙島感興趣不是新聞，今年上半年國外媒體就有在說，中共想奪取東沙島。原因也很容易了解，就是東沙島的地緣政治位置太妙了，往東北方向就是台灣海峽，往東就是巴士海峽，往南就是南海，往西就是海南島，這簡直就是兵家必爭之地！

他分析，這次東沙危機可以有4個層次的解讀，最容易理解的，是前兩個層次，第一，中共的目的是想拿下東沙島，準備展開奪島作戰，演習甚至可能轉為突襲；第二，是圍而不攻，讓台灣無法運補就好，或是說運補艦隊不敢對攔路的共軍艦隻開火，於是只好自動撤出東沙，結果就是共軍不戰而屈人之兵，讓美軍沒有介入的藉口。

他指出，以上兩層解讀把東沙島本身當作焦點，但是，東沙島本身確實是易攻難守，就算真的被中共拿下，中共自己一樣是會被易攻難守，會被奪回。所以中共的目的是醉翁之意不在酒。

第三，是以演習為名義，控制台灣海峽的進出，這從演習涵蓋的範圍就一目了然。這一來，日本也會坐不住的，因為從南海到台灣海峽也是日本的海上生命線；第四，是控制巴士海峽的進出，保護海南島南端的戰略核潛艦基地，讓核潛艦更方便東出巴士海峽，突破西太平洋的第一島鍊。這一來，美國也會坐不住的。

吳嘉隆表示，後面這兩層解讀把焦點放在台灣西南海域，其戰略意義，就是企圖片面改變台海與南海的現狀，威脅國際水域的自由航行。這當然是直接挑戰美國主導國際秩序的能力，因為這個台海與南海的現狀正是二戰後美國所界定的。他猜測，中共也許有意要在台灣的西南海域將演習常態化，至少有對台灣打消耗戰的效果：「你總要起飛與驅離吧，還可讓美軍時時刻刻來監控。反正我不開第一槍，你能怎樣？」

吳嘉隆認為，對美國來講，開戰的準備工作基本完成，只等中共開第一槍，然後印度、日本、澳洲都會出兵，與美軍一起行動。特別值得一提的，日本與印度剛剛簽署某種性質的協防協議，可共享軍事基地與軍事物資。所以，日本的海軍出現在印度洋或孟加拉灣，早就在劇本內了。

他呼籲，中華民國國防部其實不用客氣，應該有開第一槍的腹案，因為小國與大國的戰略思維是不一樣的。小國如果都很守規矩，守別人訂下的規矩，那就永遠會被大國看不起，於是就永遠沒有安全感。如果台灣敢叫陣，自己又可以擋下來犯的共軍，那會一砲而紅的。那時，美國與日本會對台灣更客氣的。畢竟，自己的國家自己救！ 國家主權，當然寸土不讓！

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馬龍

快訊／美軍驅逐艦今通過台海航行 國防部證實

TVBS新聞網

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TVBS新聞

2020年8月31日 下午2:12

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5 則留言

圖／TVBS

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國防部稍早證實，美軍一驅逐艦艘由北向南航經臺灣海峽。這也是美國軍艦今年第9次通過台海，而上午也傳出共機在我防空識別區西南角繞飛，一度還接近高雄外海，但對此國防部不願證實，只說共機動態一切都在掌握之中。

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馬龍

美兩棲突擊艦疑似現蹤台灣東部外海 中方公布衛星圖

今日新聞NOWnews

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國際中心蔡姍伶/綜合報導

2020年8月29日 上午8:23

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115 則留言

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▲中方公布疑似美利堅號兩棲突擊艦 27 日現身台灣東部外海的位置圖。（圖／取自 SCSPI ）

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美國近日於西太平洋、南海軍事動作頻頻，中國研究單位 28 日指出，美利堅號兩棲突擊艦 （ USS America LHA-6 ） 27 日疑似被衛星捕捉到現身台灣東部外海，而美國陸軍「阿提米絲」（ ARTEMIS ）偵察機， 2 架 P-8A 海神式海上巡邏機 28 日也分別於台灣北方、南方空域現蹤。

中國北京大學海洋研究院「南海戰略態勢感知計畫」平台（ SCS Probing Initiative，簡稱 SCSPI ）， 28 日在推特貼出 1 張衛星照片，顯示 1 艘疑為美利堅號兩棲突擊艦的船隻 27 日曾出現在台灣東部外海。

此外，美軍 28 日也派出 2 架戰場偵察機通過台灣北部、南部空域，分別為「阿提米絲」和 C-2 灰狗式運輸機，其中 C-2 飛往駐日美軍基地，「南海戰略態勢感知計畫」平台指出，這意味著雷根號航空母艦（ USS Ronald Reagan CVN-76 ）可能已經從關島離開。

檢視相片

▲ SCSPI 指出，美軍的偵察機 28 日分別通過台灣北部、南部空域。（圖／取自 SCSPI ）

SCSPI 消息也表示，自從颱風過境後，美軍在南海的軍事活躍程度再度上升， 28 日還派遣 2 架 P-8A 海神式海上巡邏機，於台灣南方的南海地區進行任務。

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射程可以達關島！ 共軍朝南海射四枚中程飛彈

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2020年8月27日 下午10:43

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23 則留言

美國今天(8/27)證實，大陸解放軍週三，朝南海發射了四枚中程彈道飛彈，似乎在警告美國，因為幾天前美國派兩架偵察機，靠近大陸海域。美國國防部長還投書到媒體，公開表達反中立場，也在出席論壇時批評北京霸凌其他國家，菲律賓跟越南也對中國在南海軍演，表達不滿。

圖／翻攝自股市梦工厂 微博

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解放軍飛彈實射演練：「3、2、1，點火。」

東風26中程彈道飛彈，被點燃後直衝天際，這枚射程達4千公里的武器，可用來對準地面跟海上目標，可以從大陸發射到關島美軍基地，又被稱作關島快遞，可使用核彈頭也可以用常規彈頭。

旁白：「這種解放軍火箭軍最新的殺手鐧武器，是取代老式的東風4號的新一代，中遠程地地導彈，在2015年9月3日的抗爭勝利70周年，閱兵式上首次對外披露。」

美軍證實26日共軍朝南海發射了四枚中程彈道飛彈，而根據南華早報的消息，有一枚從青海發射的就是東風26-B另一枚從浙江發射的，則是有航母殺手之稱的東風21-D，這兩枚落入海南島跟西沙群島之間的南海海域，解放軍射彈似乎是在對幾天前，有兩架美軍偵察機飛到演習禁區跟南海一帶偵搜的行為嗆聲。

美國國防部長艾斯培：「我們看到東南亞，特別是南海區域，中國似乎最常在這裡大秀軍事肌肉，執行一些所謂最糟的行為。」

東風21D中程反艦彈道飛彈，可覆蓋大陸周邊海域，它於2009年中共建國60周年國慶閱兵上，首度現身。

旁白：「東風-21D中程反艦彈道導彈，是全球第一種具有，攻擊移動目標能力的導彈，可以攻擊將近2千英里以外，移動中的航空母艦，其最新改型通過加裝多種彈頭誘餌，使反導系統難以攔截，而且打擊精度接近巡航導彈。」

解放軍在南海動作越來越多，讓周遭國家菲律賓、越南相當不滿，越南指控大陸南海軍演侵犯主權，菲律賓則表示如果他們的船艦被大陸攻擊，他們將啟動與美國的防衛協定，這也是菲國首度公開表態，會向美國求援。

美國國防部長艾斯培：「北京對一些比它小的國家上，下手較重一些，尤其是一些較小的國家，他們感受到壓迫，他們目睹霸凌發生，他們承認美國在這個新興，不斷發展的強權競爭下，所扮演的重要角色。」

美國國防部長日前也以「五角大廈準備好對抗中國」為題，投書到媒體公開反中，美國商務部也加入戰局宣布制裁24間，協助大陸建設南海島嶼的中資企業。

大陸外交部發言人趙立堅：「中方在本國領土上開展相關建設，完全是主權範圍內的事與軍事化無關，美方因中方企業和個人參與，本國相關建設，而對其實施非法制裁毫無道理。」

不只那24間中資企業，滙豐銀行也捲入美中戰爭，在香港壹傳媒高層無法使用該銀行帳戶後，美國國務卿龐佩奧跳出來，罵中共對滙豐施壓，可看出美中從軍事外交到制裁對方企業，攻擊範圍逐漸擴大。

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