馬龍

午後對流發展旺盛 台南以北14縣市大雨特報

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2020年8月12日 下午2:22

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13 則留言

午後熱對流發展旺盛，氣象局針對台南以北14縣市發出大雨特報，提醒民眾注意瞬間大雨。另針對「基隆市、臺北市、新北市、桃園市」發布大雷雨即時訊息，持續時間至15時45分止。

氣象局發布大雨特報。(取自氣象局網站)

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中央氣象局今天下午2時發出大雨特報，受到對流雲系發展旺盛，易有短時強降雨，今天台南以北地區有局部大雨發生的機率，請注意雷擊及強陣風。

大雨特報地區為基隆市、台北市、新北市、桃園市、新竹縣、新竹市、苗栗縣、台中市、南投縣、雲林縣、彰化縣、嘉義縣、嘉義市及台南市。

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馬龍

雨水就是下不來 石門水庫蓄水率創歷年第9枯

中廣新聞網

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2020年8月13日 上午9:17

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留言

石門水庫連日來雖有降雨，卻相當有限，對水情只有小小幫助。統計8月份降雨量為歷年第9枯，後續集水區仍需有效降雨，才能確保供水穩定。（李明朝報導）

石門水庫水位位在231公尺附近，仍然在為230公尺進行保衛戰，目前蓄水率為52%左右，北水局副局長郭耀程表示，以目前蓄水與去年相較，約莫相差9千萬噸，主要是今年到目前為止，颱風少，降雨量也不如預期。

統計至8月12日為止，是歷年降雨量第9枯，郭耀程表示，去年8月份降雨量有400多毫米，今年8月份為止只有80多毫米，約僅去年的2成5；和歷年蓄水量比較，則是第9枯。

目前北水局日日監看水情，確保供水穩定，同時呼籲民眾，雖然目前仍是汛期，還是要節約用水。（檔案照）

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馬龍

雙北高溫警戒！氣象專家：晴朗炎熱上看37度 午後防大雷雨

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2020年8月13日 上午8:23

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留言

前中央氣象局氣象預報中心主任吳德榮說，今晨在日本南方海面的「熱帶擾動」(原TD08)，因環境垂直風切大，結構仍呈現高低層分離。最新美國系集模式(GEFS)模擬的路徑周六(15日)大致接近台灣東北方海面，經過的海域「海洋熱含量」高是有利其維持環流強度，但環境垂直風切則是愈來愈大，周六掠過東北方海面時，將進一步減弱。其殘餘的環流是否影響台灣天氣？與距離遠近密切相關；而模擬顯示有「不確定性」，宜持續觀察。

（取自氣象局網站）

更多

中央氣象局早上7時02分發布高溫資訊指出，天氣晴朗炎熱，今天中午前後台北市、新北市地區為黃色燈號，請注意。

氣象專家吳德榮在「三立準氣象·老大洩天機」專欄指出，歐洲中期預報中心(ECMWF)模式模擬顯示，今天各地晴朗炎熱，最高溫約36度左右，地理環境特殊的地點，有升至37度的機率，中午前後仍要防曬、防中暑。大氣不穩定，午後山區有局部陣雨或雷雨，並影響部分平地，有大、豪雨及「大雷雨」發生的機率，應注意防範「劇烈天氣」(雷擊、強風、瞬間強降雨)。今日各地區氣溫：北部24至36度、中部23至36度、南部23至36度、東部23至37度。

他說，明天至下周日(14至16日)各地為晴朗炎熱，最高溫約35、36度，地理環境特殊的地點，有升至37度的機率，中午前後仍要防曬、防中暑。但大氣不穩定，午後山區對流旺盛，有陣雨或雷雨，並擴及部分平地，仍有「大雷雨」發生的機率。南方水氣多，恆春半島及花東偶有零星短暫雨的機率。

吳德榮表示，最新模式模擬顯示，下周一至周三(17至19日) 盛行東南風，各地晴朗炎熱，最高溫約36度，地理環境特殊的地點，有升至37度的機率，中午前後仍要防曬、防中暑。但大氣不穩定，午後山區對流旺盛，有陣雨或雷雨，新竹以南部分平地有受影響的機率，有較大雨勢。迎風面恆春半島及花東偶有局部短暫雨。

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變天！低壓周六報到 氣象局：2地區有雨

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莊楚雯

2020年8月13日 上午7:38

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未來一周天氣大致穩定，不過氣象局提醒要特別留意周六(15日)低氣壓接近，東半部及恆春半島降雨機率提高，有陣雨或雷雨。氣象主播賴忠瑋也指出，未來低氣壓會向西移動接近台灣，在周六距離台灣最近，中心可能從台灣北部海面通過。

氣象局預報顯示，周六（15日）低氣壓影響，東半部及恆春半島有局部短暫陣雨或雷雨，其他地區從晴天變為多雲，午後雷陣雨範圍擴大，並有局部大雨發生機率。而周五、周日到下周三(14日、16至19日)受太平洋高壓影響，天氣大多多雲時晴、午後雷陣雨的天氣型態。

氣象主播賴忠瑋也PO文表示，周六台灣受低氣壓接近影響，水氣和不穩定條件都會增加，午後熱對流發展較明顯及旺盛。目前低壓中心位置在日本琉球的東南方海面，增強成熱帶性低氣壓的機率不高。不過未來低氣壓會逐漸隨著高壓外圍向西移動接近台灣，預計周六和台灣的距離最近，中心可能從台灣北部海面通過。周日(16日)下半天低氣壓遠離，天氣回到較穩定的狀態。

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馬龍

雙北中午飆36度高溫 各地防午後雷陣雨

新頭殼

16.9k 人追蹤

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新頭殼newtalk |吳宇劼 綜合報導

2020年8月15日 上午7:00

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今天中午前後台北市、新北市高溫仍有36度以上，民眾應注意防曬並多補充水份。   圖/氣象局

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[新頭殼newtalk] 今天東部、東南部地區、恆春半島及澎湖有局部短暫陣雨或雷雨，其他地區及金門、馬祖為多雲到晴，午後有局部短暫雷陣雨，並有局部大雨發生的機率，清晨至上午中南部地區亦有零星短暫陣雨，中午前後台北市為橙色燈號，有連續出現36度高溫的機率，新北市為黃色燈號，請注意避免熱傷害。

中央大學大氣科學系兼任副教授吳德榮在「三立準氣象．老大洩天機」專欄表示，根據14日20時的歐洲中期預報中心(ECMWF)模式模擬顯示，未來一週中層「太平洋高壓」中心大約在日本附近徘徊，沉降作用強、大氣穩定；其低層則是亞洲大陸東移的乾熱氣團(學名「熱帶大陸氣團」)，為日、韓、華中、華北帶來「熱浪」的天氣。而台灣則是在中層「太平洋高壓」的邊緣，沉降作用弱，低層則是偏南至東南風、暖濕的空氣，致使大氣不穩定。中午前大致晴朗炎熱；下午則因陽光加熱，大氣不穩定釋放，常有強對流發展。模式模擬亦顯示，關島以東至換日線(東經180度)海溫高、垂直風切小，已轉變為有利下一個「熱帶擾動」發展的海域；由於距離遥遠，並無移近台灣的機率。

六日兩天各地上半天晴朗、中午炎熱，午後有局部陣雨或雷雨，並有「大雷雨」發生的機率，應注意防範「劇烈天氣」(雷擊、強風、瞬間強降雨)。南方水氣漸增多，恆春半島及花東偶有局部短暫雨的機率。今日各地區氣溫：北部24至36度、中部22至35度、南部23至35度、東部22至36度。

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馬龍

周六水氣增！這天恢復晴朗 降雨熱區出爐

EBC東森新聞

27.7k 人追蹤

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東森新聞

2020年8月13日 上午7:13

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把握好天氣！今（13）日僅台東及恆春半島有零星降雨，除了周六（15日）受低氣壓影響，東半部地區降雨機率提高，其他地區午後雷陣雨範圍擴大外，其他時間受太平洋高壓影響，天氣大多為多雲時晴、留意午後局部短暫雷陣雨的天氣型態。

中央氣象局表示，今天太平洋高壓影響，各地天氣穩定、大多為多雲到晴的天氣，僅台東、恆春半島有零星短暫降雨，午後南部地區及其他山區有局部短暫雷陣雨，並有局部大雨發生的機率，前往這些區域活動的朋友，外出請攜帶雨具備用；溫度方面，各地高溫約32至35度，特別是大台北盆地有局部36度以上高溫發生的機率，外出請做好防曬的工作並多補充水份。

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天氣概況。（圖／中央氣象局）

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東森氣象主播王淑麗指出，海面上有零星水氣，因此今天吹偏東南風，屏東、台東、花蓮局部有零星下雨，至於整體天氣變化，今天太平洋高壓比較強勢，天氣穩定，各地都是晴朗，且艷陽高照，各地紫外線都是過量等級，提醒外出時後防曬工作要做好，由於高壓強勢，午後雷陣雨範圍較縮小。今天午後雷陣雨以山區為主，另外，南部地區包括山區 部分平地，會有午後雷陣雨的現象

，熱區落在南部地區，山區及近山區也不排除有大雷雨的現象。

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局部有零星水氣。（圖／中央氣象局）

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各地為多雲到晴。（圖／中央氣象局）

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值得注意的是，日本南方的低氣壓，原本要形成颱風，但是現在看起來形成不了，目前仍慢慢往台灣東部海域靠近，周六會比較靠近台灣，水氣會增加，大氣環境比較不穩定，東半部容易下雨，西半部地區午後雷陣雨現象變得明顯，不僅山區，就連平地也有機率。不過，影響僅一天，周日高壓又開始強勢起來，天氣又會恢復晴朗穩定且炎熱。

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禮拜六水氣增加，雨變得明顯。（圖／東森新聞）

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空氣品質部分，根據環保署空氣品質預報資訊，今日環境風場轉為偏東風，西半部擴散條件較差；中部以北地區午後受光化作用影響，臭氧濃度易上升，雲嘉南、高屏、宜蘭、花東空品區及馬祖、金門、澎湖為「良好」等級；北部、竹苗及中部空品區為「普通」等級。

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南部山區易有午後雷陣雨。（圖／東森新聞）

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（封面圖／中央氣象局）

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馬龍

4縣市逾36℃！午後大雷雨恐下一整周 各地防劇烈天氣

Yahoo奇摩（綜合報導）

21k 人追蹤

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2020年8月16日 上午7:49

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1 則留言

台灣今（16）日除東南部與恆春半島不定時有局部短暫雨或雷雨外，其它各地大多為多雲到晴，氣象局已針對台北市、新北市、宜蘭縣與花蓮縣發布黃色燈號（逾36℃），西部與東半部山區午後有短暫雷雨，尤其中南部與北部山區有局部大雨發生機率，且午後大雷雨恐下一整周，應防範劇烈天氣（雷擊、強風與瞬間強降雨）。

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氣象局針對台北市、新北市、宜蘭縣與花蓮縣發布黃色燈號（逾36℃）。（圖片來源：氣象局，下同）

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氣象局表示明後2天花東與南部不定時有零星短暫雨或雷雨，其它地區則為多雲到晴，中南部與其它山區午後有局部短暫雷雨，且有局部大雨發生機率；周三至六各地大多為多雲到晴，西部與其它山區午後有局部短暫雷雨，中南部則有局部大雨發生機率。

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台灣與外島地區今日天氣和氣溫預測。

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氣象專家吳德榮則指出午後大雷雨恐下一整周，應防範劇烈天氣（雷擊、強風與瞬間強降雨），而花東與恆春半島則偶有局部短暫雨機率，提醒民眾留意天氣變化。

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變天 周末起有雨2地區雨最大 賴忠瑋：又有熱擾動發展

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2020年8月19日 上午8:24

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留言

台灣高壓籠罩36度高溫的穩定天氣僅持續到周五(21日)，氣象主播賴忠瑋表示，周末(22、23日)南方低壓槽逐漸北上影響台灣，天氣變不穩定，中南部雲量偏多，有陣雨或雷雨，北部易有午後雷陣雨，且下雨範圍更大，雨勢更明顯，預計不穩定的天氣將持續一個禮拜。

同時，菲律賓東方海面的擾動雲系，未來有機會增強成為熱帶性低氣壓，有可能發展成颱風。

賴忠瑋在臉書指出，周末開始天氣變天，北方太平洋高壓將逐漸東退，南方低壓槽逐漸北上影響台灣，風向轉為偏南風到西南風為主，導致台灣天氣不穩定，迎風面中南部雲量偏多，容易有陣雨或雷雨，北部容易有午後雷陣雨，下雨範圍更大，雨勢更明顯。預計周末開始到下周，台灣都處於偏低壓影響的環境，相對較不穩定。

賴忠瑋說，昨天生成的第七號颱風無花果，今天將登陸廣東西側，登陸後迅速減弱。接下來要留意菲律賓東方海面上的擾動雲系，有機會增強成熱帶性低氣壓，發展成颱風，周末通過台灣東方海面北上，目前看起來不會直接影響台灣，但留意是否會增強影響台灣的西南風，帶來更多水氣，可能為周末到下周初期的天氣增加更多變數。

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馬龍

新颱風醞釀中？ 週六起變天「此區」雨轟整天

TVBS新聞網

46.3k 人追蹤

追蹤

王翊綺

2020年8月20日 上午10:46

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19 則留言

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菲律賓東方海面有低氣壓組織中。（圖／中央氣象局）

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天氣高溫炎熱！今（20）日持續受到太平洋高壓影響，除了部分地區有局部短暫陣雨，各地仍為多雲到晴，高溫炎熱的型態，此天氣將會延續到明（20）日，週六（21）日開始位於南方的低壓區有北抬趨勢，午後下雨機率升高；氣象局表示，目前菲律賓東方海面有低氣壓組織中，未來有形成颱風的機率。

中央氣象局表示，今日持續受到太平洋高壓影響，風場以偏東風為主，由於地形影響，除了迎風面恆春半島有局部雨之外，中南部及澎湖也因風場繞流輻合作用，在清晨至上午有局部短暫陣雨，天氣上各地仍為多雲到晴，高溫炎熱的型態。

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（圖／中央氣象局）

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氣溫方面，氣象局發布高溫警訊，局部區域如桃園、雙北及金門仍有36度以上高溫機率，請民眾外出做好防曬並補充水分；午後降雨方面，西半部及各地山區仍須留意局部短暫雷陣雨，其中中南部仍有局部大雨發生的機率，午後外出需留意天氣變化，攜帶雨具備用。

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（圖／中央氣象局）

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氣象局預報員林定宜指出，週六以後南方的低壓區有北抬趨勢，午後下雨機率較高，其中南部不分時段，其他地區則以午後陣雨為主，山區有局部大雨發生機率。目前第7號颱風無花果已減弱為熱帶性低氣壓，但菲律賓東方海面有低氣壓組織當中，未來必須觀察其生成位置、路徑及距離，目前尚處觀察期。

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馬龍

連7颱未侵台 專家指是巧合

中時新聞網

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追蹤

林良齊／台北報導

2020年8月22日 上午4:10

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66 則留言

中央氣象局表示，菲律賓東方海面目前有一熱帶擾動，預計最快會在22日形成今年第8號颱風「巴威」，屆時可能同步發布海上警報，因天氣依舊晴朗炎熱，福隆海水浴場吸引許多民眾前來玩水消暑，但明顯可以感受因陣風帶來較大的海浪。（趙雙傑攝）

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今年至目前為止連續生成的7個颱風，皆未侵襲台灣，氣象專家表示，颱風是否會侵台與當時的大氣環境相關，都沒有來到台灣，應只是巧合，也可能是今年7月太平洋高壓強度異常增強的緣故；依目前預測來看，9月、10月的大氣環境可能會讓颱風更接近台灣，甚至也有侵台的可能。

中央氣象局局長鄭明典表示，颱風的路徑很多原因決定，難用單一因素決定，走哪一條路徑應該是巧合，根據統計，一年平均約有26個颱風，侵襲台灣的颱風平均僅有約3.5個，原本侵台機率就不高，今年截至目前已有7個颱風生成但都未侵台，「應該只是巧合」，但還是提醒大家做好準備。

生成數較過去同期少

天氣風險管理公司總監賈新興指出，今年上半年預估時，就指出今年颱風生成個數會比過去來得少，的確至今僅有8個颱風，相較過去同期來得少，主要原因是今年7月太平洋高壓強度異常增強，造成7月颱風難以生成。

目前在菲律賓附近有一熱帶擾動，中央氣象局預報員陳伊秀表示，因環境、條件有利發展，該熱帶性低氣壓最快於今下午至晚上形成第8號颱風「巴威」，預估今天南部地區會有局部豪雨雨勢，而台東各地山區午後則有局部大雨。

南部今有局部豪雨

陳伊秀指出，除非路徑較預測的再往西或是熱帶性低氣壓增強速度較預估快，否則成颱時應已遠離台灣，發布颱風警報的機率較低。24日、25日受西南風影響，中南部地區有短暫陣雨或雷雨，受到該熱帶性低氣壓影響，台灣26日至28日西南風增強，中南部地區不排除有局部大雨發生的機率。

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