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驚！2020年美國總統大選最新民調，拜登大幅領先川普！

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閻紀宇

2020年5月31日 下午10:18

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48 則留言

今年美國總統選舉再過5個月就要投票（11月3日），尋求連任的川普總統遭新冠肺炎疫情重創聲望與形象，民主黨候選人、前副總統拜登以沉穩作風與豐富經驗取勝。《華盛頓郵報》與美國廣播公司（ABC）5月31日公布最新民調，拜登的支持率領先川普已達10個百分點。

根據這份民調，如果今天就投票，美國已登記選民有53%會投給拜登（Joe Biden），支持川普（Donald Trump）的選民僅43%，相差10%是今年開年迄今最大的差距。在「一定會投票」的選民中，拜登也以51%領先川普的46%。不過美國總統選舉採行特殊的「選舉人團」（electoral college）制度，贏得普選票不代表贏得選舉，2016年的希拉蕊．柯林頓（Hillary Clinton）就輸給川普。

川普「基本盤」動員力仍遠高於拜登

不過川普支持者的忠誠與熱忱明顯高於拜登支持者：84%的川普支持者表示11月一定會投給川普，87%表示他們「熱烈支持」川普，「非常熱烈支持」者也高達64%；相較之下，拜登支持者在這3方面只有68%、74%、31%。這顯示川普對「基本盤」的動員力遠高於拜登，也突顯「催票」將是這場選戰的關鍵之一。

對於新冠肺炎疫情，多數選民認為拜登比川普更能控制疫情（50%對42%）；對於振與遭疫情拖累的美國經濟，兩人平分秋色（47%對47%）。

對於川普的整體施政表現，53%選民給予負評，正面評價者僅有45%。對於川普處理新冠肺炎疫情，53%選民給予負評，正面評價者僅有46%。

拜登「誠實、值得信賴、有同理心」

就個人形象而言，拜登與川普都有待加強，但拜登還是略勝一籌。46%選民欣賞拜登，48%不欣賞。42%選民欣賞川普，55%不欣賞。48%選民認為拜登誠實、值得信賴，川普只有35%。45%選民認為拜登有同理心（能理解民眾遭遇的問題），川普只有38%。

65歲以上高齡選民的支持，是川普2016年擊敗希拉蕊的關鍵之一，但目前拜登以54%領先川普的44%。川普2016年在白人女性選票上贏過希拉蕊，如今則以45%對51%落後拜登。

以地域而言，川普在美國南部較受支持，拜登則得到東北部與西部選民青睞。在密西根州、賓州、威斯康辛州、俄亥俄州與愛荷華州等搖擺州（swing states），拜登支持率以51%領先川普的46%。

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川普把美國帶到存亡邊緣

中國時報

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孫昌國／綜合報導

2020年6月4日 上午4:10

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107 則留言

知名暢銷書作者、紐時專欄作家克魯曼發表〈川普正把美國帶往存亡邊緣〉一文，表示川普做為總統沒有安撫國民，而是火上澆油。「我們所熟知的那個美國，正處存亡攸關的時刻」。

文章指出，去年秋天，在這次暴動的源頭─明尼亞波利斯市，警察工會主席克羅爾出現在川普的集會上，感謝總統終結了歐巴馬（Barack Obama）「對警察的壓迫」，讓警察「給罪犯戴上手銬，而非給我們戴上手銬」。

川普的所作所為似乎非常接近煽動內戰。許多警察和他們的工會仍然是川普的堅定支持者，因為他們覺得，如果他們對少數族裔做出粗暴行為，川普會支持他們。

文章認為，川普的貿易戰也沒有帶回往昔的好工作。早在新冠病毒讓美國陷入蕭條之前，川普也未能在煤炭開採或製造業中實現重大就業增長。而2016年大量支持川普的農民，也因為他的貿易戰遭受了巨大損失。那麼，川普到底為占其票倉大部分的白人工人階級提供了什麼呢？基本上，他為種族敵意提供了讚許和掩護。

文章並表示，如果川普鼓勵暴力，並談起使用軍事手段來解決大部分和平的抗議活動，那麼，如果他看起來可能會在11月的選舉中失利，他和他的支持者會怎麼做呢？

非裔之死掀眾怒

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中國時報 蔡鵑如

2020年6月4日 上午8:12

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6 則留言

美國總統川普1日前往白宮附近的聖約翰教堂，結束後步行返回白宮。該教堂於5月31日在群眾示威活動中遭人縱火。（美聯社）

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美國明尼蘇達州白人警察對非裔嫌犯執法過當致死，而掀起的驚天抗爭與騷亂，不但在全美遍地開花，憤怒之火還燒到大西洋彼岸的歐洲。原本被看好躺著選都可連任的美國總統川普，先是抗疫慢半拍，第一強權成頭號疫區；川普因應抗議的處置也令選民不滿。據2日出爐民調，近3分之2民眾認同抗爭者，4成強烈不贊同川普因應方式。更難堪的是，民主黨候選人拜登領先優勢，已擴大到2位數百分點，差距寫下新高。

《路透社》及易普索（Ipsos）在1至2日進行的最新民調結果，等於為國內外都焦頭爛額的川普，在11月爭取連任的千秋大業，狠狠潑了一大盆冷水。

4成民眾 強烈不滿白宮應對

民調顯示，64％受訪民眾「認同那些現在出門抗爭的人」，相較僅27％不贊同。路透分析，面對這波抗議引發的騷亂，川普採取強硬手段因應，他多次發推文高呼法律與秩序，揚言動用美軍鎮壓暴力異議者，譴責暴亂為「國內恐怖行為」，嘲弄那些未要求軍方協助遏止騷亂的州長，都可能讓自身陷入政治風險。

過半民眾（55％）對川普處理抗爭的表現不滿，其中更有高達4成「強烈不贊同」，只有3分之1表示認同。但尷尬的是，這數字比川普的民意支持度39％還要低。若依選民政黨屬性，即使與川普同屬共和黨的鐵桿，也只有6成7認同川普的處置方式，依舊低於他們對川普施政的滿意度（82％）。

嘲弄州長 政治風險自找的

更讓川普難堪的是，同樣由路透與伊普索進行的另一項民調，代表民主黨逐鹿白宮的前副總統拜登，獲得47％已登記選民力挺，37％則表態將把票投給川普，意味拜登的領先幅度，已由稍早的3至8個百分點，一口氣拉開到10個百分點。這也是拜登4月初確定出線以來，雙方支持度差距最大的時候。

警方在1日傍晚動用催淚瓦斯，驅散聖約翰教堂外的和平示威群眾，好讓川普拿著聖經，在這座「總統教堂」前拍照，展現硬漢形象。對於警方的回應方式，受訪者顯然意見分歧，且看法與政黨傾向相關。43％認為警方表現稱職，但47％不同意；其中共和黨選民泰半認同，民主黨選民則逾半不認同。

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馬龍

馬龍

剛剛  · 

分享對象：公開

以美國總統川普的命盤、命主星而言，他在六月02、03日時就很衰，民調出爐，雙輸！對其氣勢有嚴重打擊，甚至有人開始懷疑他在年底的選舉還能贏嗎？不過，這只是暫時的，還有大半年的時間，還有得拼的！還會再變！

馬龍

馬龍

剛剛  · 

分享對象：公開

回顧一下這個禮拜的星盤，嘿嘿，很好玩，也很好笑！根本就是「揮別舊愛，迎向新歡」的態勢啊！有著分手的傷痛，但滿小的；有著更多愛戀新歡的喜悅（爽快）！不過，很快地會有更多的狀況發生。嗯嗯，沒有愛情是永恆的，那是鑽石商人的謊言！

馬龍

川普選情告急！ CNN：拜登支持率達50％ 創下希拉蕊未達里程碑

新頭殼

15.7k 人追蹤

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新頭殼newtalk |楊清緣 綜合報導

2020年6月8日 下午11:59

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101 則留言

[新頭殼newtalk] 美國總統選舉將於美國時間11月3日舉行，而美國黑人男子佛洛伊德（George Floyd）遭白人警察膝蓋壓頸窒息身亡，引爆美國半世紀來最嚴重社會對立，也為美國總統川普的連任之路投下變數。美國有線電視新聞網（CNN）引述最新民調指出，民主黨總統參選人拜登（Joe Biden）支持率達50%，創下前民主黨總統候選人希拉蕊（Hillary Clinton）未曾達到的里程碑。

美國國家廣播公司新聞網（NBC News）及華爾街日報（Wall Street Journal）的7日民調顯示，拜登的支持率將近50%（49%），領先總統川普（42%）的差距達7個百分點。

CNN政治評論員恩騰（Harry Enten）指出，根據自5月31日以來的平均現場訪問民調，拜登的支持率成功超越50%（51%）。拜登目前擁有過半選民支持，這是不容小覷的重要里程碑。恩騰指出，希拉蕊在2016年總統大選前的平均民調未曾接近50%，遭到川普輕易逆轉。2016年6月平均現場訪問民調顯示，希拉蕊在期間的支持率僅42%。

恩騰進一步表示，希拉蕊在2016年6月的各項民調，沒有任何一項的支持率達50%。事實上，在之後選戰期間，她的平均民調也未曾接近這個數字，川普在大選取得逆轉勝變得相對容易。相較之下，拜登過去一週的3項現場訪問民調中，支持率都至少達到50%。恩騰分析，川普目前面臨艱難選戰，倘若無法奪回轉向支持拜登的選民，勝選機率微乎其微。如果川普今年想順利連任，勢必要有一番作為。

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後甲

川普選戰後段的爆發力很大的，我看好他

腋下魔人

受夠了這咖,快點下台吧

馬龍

美前國安顧問出書驚爆：川普對台不友善！懇求習近平助連任

Yahoo奇摩（綜合報導）

20.2k 人追蹤

追蹤

2020年6月18日 上午7:21

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191 則留言

《華爾街日報》18日獨家刊登美前國家安全顧問波頓（John Bolton）即將在23日出版的新書《白宮回憶錄》（The Room Where It Happened：A White House Memoir）內容摘錄，驚爆總統川普於去年6月G20大阪峰會期間，竟在一場閉門會議中懇求中國國家主席習近平能協助他贏得連任，且對台灣並不友善，引發外界譁然！

波頓驚爆川普於去年6月G20大阪峰會期間，竟在一場閉門會議中懇求習近平協助贏得連任，引發外界譁然！（圖片來源：AP）

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該報導內容指出波頓揭露在大阪峰會前一周，川普致電習近平稱很想念對方，並表示他參與過最夯的事件就是與中國達成貿易協議，此舉將為他帶來龐大政治利益，而在峰會期間，習除告知川普美中關係是全球最重要的聯繫外，也不滿指出某些美方政治人物呼籲與中國進行新冷戰是做了錯誤判斷，川普話鋒一轉突提及即將舉行的美總統大選，懇求習能協助他贏得連任，還提示中國增購黃豆與小麥對選舉結果的重要性，並讚揚習是「中國史上最偉大領導人」！

此外，波頓還揭露川普曾對天安門事件表示「誰在乎啊？我努力達成協議，其它任何事我都不要」，以及對香港反送中運動稱「我不想蹚渾水」、「我們也有人權問題」等，甚至直指川普對台灣態度並不友善，常指著麥克筆尖說道「這是台灣」，然後指著總統辦公桌說道「這是中國」，讓他感嘆「美國對另一民主盟友的承諾與義務竟淪落至廝」！

波頓強調他可寫出川普當時所說的每一句確切字眼，但川普政府的出版前審查程序不會允許他這麼做，事實上，司法部日前已向華盛頓聯邦法院提起訴訟，聲稱此書出版將會「危及國家安全」！

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腋下魔人

https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20200621002832-260408

川普在奧克拉荷馬州的土沙市舉辦造勢大會，不過造勢會一結束，當地就地牛翻身。