[轉貼] 颱風巴威生成

馬龍

颱風巴威生成 宜蘭花蓮大雨特報

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2020年8月22日 上午9:49

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12 則留言

位於台灣東部海面上的熱帶低氣壓，在今天上午生成輕度颱風「巴威」，中央氣象局也將於早上10點30分發布海上颱風警報。氣象局針對宜蘭縣和花蓮縣發布大雨特報指出，受颱風外圍環流影響，今天東北部及東部地區有局部大雨發生的機率，請注意瞬間大雨及強陣風。

位於台灣東部海面上的熱帶低氣壓，在今天上午生成輕度颱風「巴威」，中央氣象局也將於早上10點30分發布海上颱風警報。(圖取自氣象局)

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氣象局觀測，颱風巴威上午8時的中心位置在北緯 23.3 度，東經 122.7 度，以每小時14公里速度，向北北東進行。中心氣壓998百帕，近中心最大風速每秒18公尺，瞬間最大陣風每秒 25 公尺，七級風暴風半徑 80 公里。

氣象專家吳德榮在「三立準氣象· 老大洩天機」專欄發文指出，根據歐洲中期預報中心(ECMWF)模式模擬顯示，周末(22、23日)颱風從台灣東側通過，各地雲量多有局部陣雨，東北部及南部的對流較強，應注意較大雨勢及「大雷雨」。高溫微降，今日各地氣溫：北部24至32度、中部23至33度、南部24至33度、東部23至32度。

吳德榮表示，下周一、二(24、25日)引進西南風，水氣多、天氣不穩定；台灣迎風面的南部、中部的清晨及午後皆有對流發展的機率，其他地區晴朗炎熱。下周三(26日)至周五(28日)西南風增強，不穩定度提高；迎風面南部、中部的清晨及午後「強對流」發展的機率更高，應注意其所伴隨的「劇烈天氣」(雷擊、強風及瞬間強降雨)；其他地區也有降雨機率。

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馬龍

連7颱未侵台 專家指是巧合

中時新聞網

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林良齊／台北報導

2020年8月22日 上午4:10

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66 則留言

中央氣象局表示，菲律賓東方海面目前有一熱帶擾動，預計最快會在22日形成今年第8號颱風「巴威」，屆時可能同步發布海上警報，因天氣依舊晴朗炎熱，福隆海水浴場吸引許多民眾前來玩水消暑，但明顯可以感受因陣風帶來較大的海浪。（趙雙傑攝）

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今年至目前為止連續生成的7個颱風，皆未侵襲台灣，氣象專家表示，颱風是否會侵台與當時的大氣環境相關，都沒有來到台灣，應只是巧合，也可能是今年7月太平洋高壓強度異常增強的緣故；依目前預測來看，9月、10月的大氣環境可能會讓颱風更接近台灣，甚至也有侵台的可能。

中央氣象局局長鄭明典表示，颱風的路徑很多原因決定，難用單一因素決定，走哪一條路徑應該是巧合，根據統計，一年平均約有26個颱風，侵襲台灣的颱風平均僅有約3.5個，原本侵台機率就不高，今年截至目前已有7個颱風生成但都未侵台，「應該只是巧合」，但還是提醒大家做好準備。

生成數較過去同期少

天氣風險管理公司總監賈新興指出，今年上半年預估時，就指出今年颱風生成個數會比過去來得少，的確至今僅有8個颱風，相較過去同期來得少，主要原因是今年7月太平洋高壓強度異常增強，造成7月颱風難以生成。

目前在菲律賓附近有一熱帶擾動，中央氣象局預報員陳伊秀表示，因環境、條件有利發展，該熱帶性低氣壓最快於今下午至晚上形成第8號颱風「巴威」，預估今天南部地區會有局部豪雨雨勢，而台東各地山區午後則有局部大雨。

南部今有局部豪雨

陳伊秀指出，除非路徑較預測的再往西或是熱帶性低氣壓增強速度較預估快，否則成颱時應已遠離台灣，發布颱風警報的機率較低。24日、25日受西南風影響，中南部地區有短暫陣雨或雷雨，受到該熱帶性低氣壓影響，台灣26日至28日西南風增強，中南部地區不排除有局部大雨發生的機率。

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馬龍

中央氣象局下午發布海上警報 「巴威」今最靠近台灣

新頭殼

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新頭殼newtalk |陳芳伶 綜合報導

2020年8月22日 下午3:10

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中央氣象局今(22)日下午發布西北太平洋上颱風「巴威」的海上警報。   圖：擷取自中央氣象局臉書

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[新頭殼newtalk] 中央氣象局今(22)日下午發布西北太平洋上颱風「巴威」的海上警報，目前發布的警報區為北部海面與東半部海面，下午2時，颱風中心已來到花蓮東方150公里的海面上，預估會往北，再往東北方向移動，今天將是最接近台灣的時候。

原本在台灣附近的海面風浪，浪高最多已到達2米，但隨著颱風往北部海面靠近，這些海面的浪高已到達3米左右，中央氣象局提醒大家，在北部、東半部沿海，還有在恆春半島的沿海空曠地區，會有8至10級的強陣風，另外，在基隆北海岸、東半部沿海地區(包括綠島、蘭嶼)，都可能出現長浪的現象，所以海面上的狀況是不太平靜的，提醒從事海面或海邊活動的民眾要注意。

至於颱風的環流，一波波外圍環流靠近陸地，幾乎各地都有降雨的現象，截至目前為止，在台中、南投、台東、高雄、屏東、恆春都已經出現1小時40、60毫米的降雨，預估下半天以後，一波波的雨系接近，各地天氣持續不穩定，氣象局也持續發布大雨特報。

中央氣象局指出，就大雨特報部分來說，預估在基隆北海岸地區、東半部地區、南部地區、南投山區以及大台北的山區以及台中山區、雲嘉山區可能出現局部性的大雨，隨著颱風環流的一波波影響，大雨特報在某些地方可能升級成豪雨特報會持續發布。目前看起來颱風今天最靠近，明天到達東北部海面，但是外圍環流還是影響天氣，所以明天天氣仍然是不穩定的。

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馬龍

就在家門口！巴威恐增強成中颱 13縣市大雨狂炸

東森新聞

•2020年8月22日 下午1:49

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1 則留言

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氣象局於今（22日）表示，熱帶低壓TD10已確定生成今年第8號颱風「巴威」，且根據氣象局預報資料顯示，巴威未來還可能繼續增強，強度將來到中颱等級，各地暴風圈侵襲機率也隨即出爐！

中央氣象局，颱風潛勢預測資料指出，巴威颱風在未來48至96小時間達到巔峰強度，屆時颱風近中心最大風速會來到每秒40公尺，瞬間最大陣風每秒50公尺，7級風暴風半徑180公里，10級風暴風半徑60公里，相當於中度颱風強度，暴風圈也隨之擴大；未來120小時內各縣市受7級風暴風圈侵襲機率，以基隆市8%最高，其次則是宜蘭縣6%、台北市5%、新北市3%、桃園市2%，新竹縣市、苗栗縣、花蓮縣、連江縣1%，其他縣市0%。

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暴風圈侵襲機率。（圖／中央氣象局）

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針對颱風的資訊，氣象局表示，輕度颱風巴威(國際命名BAVI)今日11點的中心位置在北緯23.8度，東經122.8度，即在花蓮的東方約120公里之海面上，以每小時14轉11公里速度，向北北東轉東北進行；第8號颱風中心目前在花蓮東方海面，向北北東轉東北移動，其暴風圈已進入臺灣東半部海面，對臺灣東半部海面及臺灣北部海面構成威脅。

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颱風資訊。（圖／中央氣象局）

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除了颱風的資訊以外，中央氣象局也於今日發布大雨特報，受到颱風外圍環流影響，易有短時強降雨，今日基隆北海岸、東半部、南投、南部地區及大臺北、臺中、雲林、嘉義山區有局部大雨發生的機率，請注意溪水暴漲、雷擊及強陣風；13縣市包含基隆市、台北市、新北市、台中市、南投縣、雲林縣、嘉義縣、台南市、高雄市、屏東縣、宜蘭縣、花蓮縣和台東縣。

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13縣市大雨特報。（圖／中央氣象局）

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（封面圖／中央氣象局）

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馬龍

巴威將轉中颱！4縣市大雨特報 颱風尾影響將下5天雨

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2020年8月23日 上午7:08

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20 則留言

台灣（23）今日受輕颱巴威外圍環流影響，氣象局針對台北市、新北市、基隆市與屏東縣發布大雨特報，未來12小時巴威估將轉為中颱，而明起受其引進的西南風（颱風尾）影響，降雨將持續至周五，尤其周三起中南部應防劇烈天氣（雷擊、強風及瞬間強降雨）。

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巴威續向東北轉東北東前進，未來12小時估將轉為中颱，明起受其引進的西南風（颱風尾）影響，降雨將持續至周五。（圖片來源：氣象局，下同）

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氣象局表示巴威續向東北轉東北東前進，未來12小時估將轉為中颱，氣象局說，今受其外圍環流影響，基隆北海岸、北部山區與南部地區雨勢較為明顯，西部有局部短暫雨或雷雨，東部降雨稍趨緩，僅午後山區有局部雷雨，而下半天隨著颱風遠離，除嘉義以南地區仍有局部降雨外，其它地區降雨逐漸趨緩；氣溫方面，西部高溫約33至34℃、東部32至35℃，宜蘭則有局部36℃以上高溫發生機率。

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氣象局針對台北市、新北市、基隆市與屏東縣發布大雨特報。

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氣象專家吳德榮指出明起受巴威引進的西南風（颱風尾）影響，降雨將持續至周五，且周三起有愈來愈溼、影響加鉅的趨勢，尤其中南部清晨與午後強對流發展機率更高，應防劇烈天氣。

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台灣與外島地區今日天氣和氣溫預測。

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