馬龍

變天 周末起有雨2地區雨最大 賴忠瑋：又有熱擾動發展

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莊楚雯

2020年8月19日 上午8:24

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台灣高壓籠罩36度高溫的穩定天氣僅持續到周五(21日)，氣象主播賴忠瑋表示，周末(22、23日)南方低壓槽逐漸北上影響台灣，天氣變不穩定，中南部雲量偏多，有陣雨或雷雨，北部易有午後雷陣雨，且下雨範圍更大，雨勢更明顯，預計不穩定的天氣將持續一個禮拜。

同時，菲律賓東方海面的擾動雲系，未來有機會增強成為熱帶性低氣壓，有可能發展成颱風。

賴忠瑋在臉書指出，周末開始天氣變天，北方太平洋高壓將逐漸東退，南方低壓槽逐漸北上影響台灣，風向轉為偏南風到西南風為主，導致台灣天氣不穩定，迎風面中南部雲量偏多，容易有陣雨或雷雨，北部容易有午後雷陣雨，下雨範圍更大，雨勢更明顯。預計周末開始到下周，台灣都處於偏低壓影響的環境，相對較不穩定。

賴忠瑋說，昨天生成的第七號颱風無花果，今天將登陸廣東西側，登陸後迅速減弱。接下來要留意菲律賓東方海面上的擾動雲系，有機會增強成熱帶性低氣壓，發展成颱風，周末通過台灣東方海面北上，目前看起來不會直接影響台灣，但留意是否會增強影響台灣的西南風，帶來更多水氣，可能為周末到下周初期的天氣增加更多變數。

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馬龍

新颱風醞釀中？ 週六起變天「此區」雨轟整天

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追蹤

王翊綺

2020年8月20日 上午10:46

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19 則留言

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菲律賓東方海面有低氣壓組織中。（圖／中央氣象局）

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天氣高溫炎熱！今（20）日持續受到太平洋高壓影響，除了部分地區有局部短暫陣雨，各地仍為多雲到晴，高溫炎熱的型態，此天氣將會延續到明（20）日，週六（21）日開始位於南方的低壓區有北抬趨勢，午後下雨機率升高；氣象局表示，目前菲律賓東方海面有低氣壓組織中，未來有形成颱風的機率。

中央氣象局表示，今日持續受到太平洋高壓影響，風場以偏東風為主，由於地形影響，除了迎風面恆春半島有局部雨之外，中南部及澎湖也因風場繞流輻合作用，在清晨至上午有局部短暫陣雨，天氣上各地仍為多雲到晴，高溫炎熱的型態。

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（圖／中央氣象局）

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氣溫方面，氣象局發布高溫警訊，局部區域如桃園、雙北及金門仍有36度以上高溫機率，請民眾外出做好防曬並補充水分；午後降雨方面，西半部及各地山區仍須留意局部短暫雷陣雨，其中中南部仍有局部大雨發生的機率，午後外出需留意天氣變化，攜帶雨具備用。

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（圖／中央氣象局）

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氣象局預報員林定宜指出，週六以後南方的低壓區有北抬趨勢，午後下雨機率較高，其中南部不分時段，其他地區則以午後陣雨為主，山區有局部大雨發生機率。目前第7號颱風無花果已減弱為熱帶性低氣壓，但菲律賓東方海面有低氣壓組織當中，未來必須觀察其生成位置、路徑及距離，目前尚處觀察期。

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連7颱未侵台 專家指是巧合

中時新聞網

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林良齊／台北報導

2020年8月22日 上午4:10

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66 則留言

中央氣象局表示，菲律賓東方海面目前有一熱帶擾動，預計最快會在22日形成今年第8號颱風「巴威」，屆時可能同步發布海上警報，因天氣依舊晴朗炎熱，福隆海水浴場吸引許多民眾前來玩水消暑，但明顯可以感受因陣風帶來較大的海浪。（趙雙傑攝）

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今年至目前為止連續生成的7個颱風，皆未侵襲台灣，氣象專家表示，颱風是否會侵台與當時的大氣環境相關，都沒有來到台灣，應只是巧合，也可能是今年7月太平洋高壓強度異常增強的緣故；依目前預測來看，9月、10月的大氣環境可能會讓颱風更接近台灣，甚至也有侵台的可能。

中央氣象局局長鄭明典表示，颱風的路徑很多原因決定，難用單一因素決定，走哪一條路徑應該是巧合，根據統計，一年平均約有26個颱風，侵襲台灣的颱風平均僅有約3.5個，原本侵台機率就不高，今年截至目前已有7個颱風生成但都未侵台，「應該只是巧合」，但還是提醒大家做好準備。

生成數較過去同期少

天氣風險管理公司總監賈新興指出，今年上半年預估時，就指出今年颱風生成個數會比過去來得少，的確至今僅有8個颱風，相較過去同期來得少，主要原因是今年7月太平洋高壓強度異常增強，造成7月颱風難以生成。

目前在菲律賓附近有一熱帶擾動，中央氣象局預報員陳伊秀表示，因環境、條件有利發展，該熱帶性低氣壓最快於今下午至晚上形成第8號颱風「巴威」，預估今天南部地區會有局部豪雨雨勢，而台東各地山區午後則有局部大雨。

南部今有局部豪雨

陳伊秀指出，除非路徑較預測的再往西或是熱帶性低氣壓增強速度較預估快，否則成颱時應已遠離台灣，發布颱風警報的機率較低。24日、25日受西南風影響，中南部地區有短暫陣雨或雷雨，受到該熱帶性低氣壓影響，台灣26日至28日西南風增強，中南部地區不排除有局部大雨發生的機率。

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高屏大雨特報！明起3天全台防大雨 周末恐有颱風生成

Yahoo奇摩（綜合報導）

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2020年8月25日 上午7:45

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8 則留言

台灣今（25）日受西南風影響，氣象局清晨針對高雄市與屏東縣發布大雨特報，其它地區則為多雲到晴，並針對台北市發布橙色燈號（連3日逾36℃或逾38℃），基隆市、新北市、桃園市、新竹縣、苗栗縣、台中市、宜蘭縣、花蓮縣、台東縣與金門縣則發布黃色燈號（逾36℃），明起3天全台需防大雨或豪雨，另值得注意的是菲律賓東方海面周五有熱帶擾動發展、周末恐成颱，但後續發展還需再觀察，提醒民眾留意天氣變化。

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象局清晨針對高雄市與屏東縣發布大雨特報。（圖片來源：氣象局，下同）

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氣象局表示今各地山區與東北部近山區平地午後有局部短暫雷雨，明起至周五中南部有局部大雨或豪雨發生機率，北部與東北部也整天有雨，要等到周六降雨才會趨緩，屆時中南部有局短暫雨或雷雨，並有局部大雨發生機率，其它地區則為午後雷雨。

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氣象局針對台北市發布橙色燈號（連3日逾36℃或逾38℃），基隆市、新北市、桃園市、新竹縣、苗栗縣、台中市、宜蘭縣、花蓮縣、台東縣與金門縣則發布黃色燈號（逾36℃）。

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氣象達人彭啟明提醒菲律賓東方海面周末恐有颱風生成，另氣象專家吳德榮也指出據最新歐洲（ECMWF）與美國（GFS）模式模擬皆顯示菲律賓東方海面周五有熱帶擾動發展，但後續發展還需再觀察。

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台灣與外島地區今日天氣和氣溫預測。

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更多生活相關新聞

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周三起3天全台有雨！ 彭啟明：周末可能又有颱風生成

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林姸君

2020年8月25日 上午8:57

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（示意圖／報系資料照）

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今（25日）受到西南風影響，南部地區有短暫陣雨或雷雨，中部地區有局部短暫陣雨或雷雨，並有局部大雨發生的機率，其他地區為多雲到晴，高溫炎熱。天氣風險公司總經理彭啟明表示，周末也要關注，菲律賓東方海面上仍有機會低壓發展，不排除下周也有颱風北上的機會，現在尚未看到有擾動發展，仍是模式預測的低壓，現在說還太早，但周末可能又有颱風生成，離台灣還有一段距離。

中央氣象局指出，今（25日）持續受西南風影響，中南部仍有局部短暫陣雨或雷雨，並有大雨發生機率，其中在南部的降雨範圍較廣且時間較多，而中部則較為局部，至於其他地區則為多雲到晴，午後山區及東北部近山區平地則有局部短暫雷陣雨。

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（圖／中央氣象局網站）

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溫度方面，除南部因雲多下雨高溫約31到33度外，其他地區則較為炎熱，高溫可以來到34至36度，其中在台中以北、東半部及金門局部地方高溫可以超過36度，特別是台北盆地內更有局部38度以上高溫發生機率。

中央氣象局表示，周三至周五（26日至28日）西南風增強且水氣略增周三、周四（26日、27日）中南部地區有陣雨或雷雨，並有局部大雨或豪雨發生的機率，北部、東北部有局部短暫陣雨或雷雨，午後並有局部大雨發生的機會；其他地區為多雲，午後各地有局部短暫雷陣雨。

彭啟明則表示，台灣的天氣不再受到巴威颱風的影響，而到這周末後，較強的西南風及潮溼水氣將減弱，又再度回到西南風的天氣。也會有一個空檔，周末的天氣應該還算不錯，至少不會像目前西南風那麼顯著。

彭啟明指出，而周末也要關注，菲律賓東方海面上仍有機會低壓發展，不排除下周也有颱風北上的機會，現在尚未看到有擾動發展，仍是模式預測的低壓，現在說還太早，但周末可能又有颱風生成，離台灣還有一段距離。

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2020年8月26日 上午7:28

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6 則留言

台灣今（26）日受西南風增強影響，氣象局清晨已對嘉義市、嘉義縣、台南市、高雄市與屏東縣發布豪雨特報，彰化縣與雲林縣則發布大雨特報，低窪地區民眾慎防淹水，且中南部今起3天有局部大雨或豪雨發生機率，北部與東北部明起2天也將整日有雨，另氣象局也針對基隆市、台北市、新北市、新竹縣、花蓮縣與台東縣發布橙色燈號（連3日逾36℃或逾38℃），桃園市、苗栗縣與宜蘭縣則發布黃色燈號（逾36℃），提醒民眾留意天氣變化。

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氣象局清晨對嘉義市、嘉義縣、台南市、高雄市與屏東縣發布豪雨特報，彰化縣與雲林縣則發布大雨特報。（圖片來源：氣象局，下同）

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氣象局表示今中南部有局部大雨或豪雨發生機率，北部與東部上午多雲到晴，午後山區與近山區平地則有局部短暫雷雨，且有機會出現局部大雨，而這波西南風將影響至周五，中南部今起3天都有局部大雨或豪雨發生機率，北部與東北部明起2天也將整日有雨，要等到周六西南風減弱，中南部降雨才會較為趨緩，但仍有局部陣雨或雷雨，其它地區則以午後局部雷雨為主，周日東部偶有局部短暫雨，其它地區則為多雲到晴，午後中南部與其它山區有局部短暫雷雨。

檢視相片

氣象局針對基隆市、台北市、新北市、新竹縣、花蓮縣與台東縣發布橙色燈號（連3日逾36℃或逾38℃），桃園市、苗栗縣與宜蘭縣則發布黃色燈號（逾36℃）。

更多影片

氣象專家吳德榮則提醒今起至周五西南風挾帶水氣增多，中南部有強對流發展，應防範劇烈天氣（雷擊、強風及瞬間強降雨）與豪雨成災。

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台灣與外島地區今日天氣和氣溫預測。

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馬龍

彰化以南小心大規模或劇烈豪雨！ 氣象專家：整個西南風強風軸幾乎對準台灣

Yahoo奇摩（即時新聞）

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2020年8月27日 上午8:35

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11 則留言

氣象專家彭啟明今天表示，這周受到西南風影響，如預期在周三開始南部的雨勢，同時極端的降雨在台南高雄到屏東，都有顯著較大雨勢出現，氣象局已發布大規模或劇烈豪雨資訊，最新清晨的預測在未來24小時雨量，台南市全區，高雄市平地，屏東縣平地150-250毫米，高雄市山區，屏東縣山區150-300毫米，嘉義縣全區，新北山區100-190毫米。提醒今天在上述可能有較劇烈雨勢出現地區，尤其昨天部分區域已經下了250-300毫米，務必要提高警覺，其他地方也要留意局部對流胞的發展，例如中部以北區域，或是北部，午後雷陣雨有機會發展起來，也有可能有零星局部較大雨勢。

（取自氣象局網站）

更多影片

他提醒，遇到有時發展的強對流劇烈雨勢，務必要能避就避，盡量減少在戶外交通的時間，有時變數也較多，尤其開車或騎乘機車。每個地方的防災能量或雨勢不同，這次不是全面型，是每個小區域都不同，可能要有些彈性調整的空間。

中央氣象局清晨發布豪雨特報指出，西南風增強影響，易有短時強降雨，今天台南市、高雄市及屏東縣有局部大雨或豪雨發生的機率，彰化以南至嘉義地區及台東山區有局部大雨發生的機率，請注意雷擊、強陣風及溪水暴漲，低窪地區請慎防淹水。豪雨特報警戒範圍包括台南市、高雄市、屏東縣。大雨特報警戒範圍包括彰化縣、雲林縣、嘉義市、嘉義縣、台東縣。

氣象局大規模或劇烈豪雨資訊指出，西南風增強影響，易有短時強降雨，今天台南市、高雄市及屏東縣有局部大雨或豪雨發生的機率，彰化以南至嘉義地區及台東山區有局部大雨發生的機率，請注意雷擊、強陣風及溪水暴漲，低窪地區請慎防淹水。

彭啟明在臉書po文指出，這波西南風，很多人覺得很像是颱風尾，因為巴威颱風沿著中國東岸北走到北韓，颱風中心在白天登陸，目前仍維持中度颱風等級，嚴重影響北韓，往中國東北方向移動，也很快減弱消散。而原來的西南季風也被這環流牽動，整個西南風的強風軸幾乎是對準台灣，除了有較強風勢也帶來暖濕的水氣，配合上南部的地形，以及海陸風環流的對峙，讓南部的降雨早下晚也下，雖有短暫空檔，但後續還沒有立即消散的時間，今天會是這波雨勢可能最大時間，也有機會延續到深夜，周五會稍緩和一些，要有較多的水氣減緩，可能要等到周六日，西南風會顯著減弱。

他也說，這周六日，南部的天氣緩和，其他各地也會顯著轉為夏季，偶有局部午後雷陣雨的天氣。不過這時候就要留意菲律賓東方海面，可能在周末有機會發展成為今年第九號颱風。目前仍維持低壓發展的階段，由於這區域的環境條件還不錯，預期在這這一兩天會逐步成長為熱帶性低氣壓，周末成長為颱風，最快則是下周一會接近台灣東部海面，很類似過去從東方海面通過往北前進的颱風。

彭啟明表示，這只是現在從大環境條件來做的初步預估，可能等到周六日颱風生成，才會有較明確的路徑預測。由於生成位置可能距離台灣較近，最快影響東部海面也是下周一，距離有多近仍有很高不確定性，尚難說影響東部區域的程度有多少，但至少預期下周一東部的風浪會較目前西南風的環境下，東部會增大不少。

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馬龍

均溫29.54度 史上最熱的一季

   

歷季高溫紀錄表

2020-08-29 05:30:00

〔記者鄭瑋奇／台北報導〕今年6月至8月，台灣氣溫明顯偏高，中央氣象局氣象預報中心主任呂國臣表示，今年夏天感覺來得特別早、特別熱，主要因為太平洋副熱帶高壓異常偏強，造成台灣氣溫明顯偏高，成為史上最熱的一季，平均氣溫約達29.54度（統計至8月26日），次高則為106年7月至9月的29.41度；其中，今年7月大武測到40.2度、台北39.7度及玉山23.8度等，均創下該站歷史最高溫紀錄。

太平洋副熱帶高壓異常偏強

呂國臣指出，今年6月至8月，台灣高溫飆破歷史紀錄，以台北極端高溫案例來看，今年6月至7月，台北35度以上有72天、36度以上有55天、37度以上有30天、38度以上有13天、39度以上有2天。

至於雨量情況，今年6月至8月平均狀態屬於少雨，平均累積雨量僅為同期的50％左右，且6月較明顯偏乾、7月仍屬偏乾、8月情況稍好一點。以歷史排名來看，為1993年以來最少的一年。

氣象局表示，6月至8月出現異常偏強的太平洋副熱帶高壓，除造成梅雨較往年提早結束，7月更首次出現西北太平洋無颱風生成紀錄，8月生成6個颱風、略多於氣候平均值5.6個，但因生成較接近陸地，強度相對較弱、生命期也相對較短，對台灣的影響較低。

9-11月颱風生成頻率偏高

呂國臣指出，今年秋季9月至11月，反聖嬰有發展趨勢，台灣附近海溫偏高，秋、冬季太平洋生成颱風頻率會較氣候值略微偏多。未來一季，台灣附近有偏暖情況，氣溫預估會是偏高至正常的情況，不過偏高溫的機率會逐月下降。雨量方面，未來一季預估屬於正常狀況，9月、10月有較為偏多的情況，11月無明顯訊號。

至於秋颱，過去統計顯示，9、10月有1至2個颱風侵台，今年預測西北太平洋颱風生成頻率略多於平均值，侵台機率以正常機會高。

氣象預報中心主任呂國臣說明台灣今年6至8月，為史上最熱一季。（記者鄭瑋奇攝）

https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/life/paper/1396099

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周末涼爽如秋天！這天起吹西南風 全台各地轉有雨

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2 則留言

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氣象局表示，今、明兩天氣候有如初秋，天氣穩定，中部以北幾乎都不會下雨。   圖：楊瑾錚/攝

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[新頭殼newtalk] 中央氣象局表示，到下周一(7日)前天氣相對穩定，中部以北幾乎都不會下雨，天氣形態類似「初秋」。周二(8日)起南方雲系北移、西南風增強，除宜蘭外，到周五(11日)前各地整天都會有短暫陣雨或雷雨。

氣象局預報員李孟軒表示，周一前天氣相對穩定，今(5)天北部、東北部有局部短暫陣雨，其他地區都是多雲到晴，午後南部、東南部山區有雷雨。周日(6日)、周一則是恆春半島、東南部有短暫陣雨，午後南部山區、花蓮山區有雷雨。

李孟軒指出，周日、周一中部以北相對穩定，幾乎不會下雨。周二起南方雲系北移，西南風逐漸增強，除宜蘭外，各地整天都有局部短暫陣雨，宜蘭則是以午後雷雨為主，下雨的天氣將持續到周五。另外目前海面上僅有強颱「海神」，並無其他熱帶擾動發展。

天氣風險公司表示，這周末天氣類似「初秋」，早晚較涼也偏乾，中午雖仍熱，但很舒服，不會那麼潮濕油膩，但在迎風面的北部靠山區或是南部，還是有零星短暫陣雨發展機會，東北部及東半部沿海要注意長浪。

到了下周一晚到周二開始，南方的水氣將逐步北上，西南季風會再度增強，台灣附近的天氣會有一段時間較不穩定，水氣多，容易有午後陣雨或局部陣雨發展。

而下周東亞的天氣，又會是另外一個階段，台灣附近除了短暫受到西南季風增強的影響，未來還是要看太平洋高壓的動態，暫時有個空檔期，尚未有颱風馬上要發展趨勢，不過這時候在歷史統計上仍是颱風旺季，仍要保持關注。

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衛星雲圖上可見台灣東南方的強颱海神，颱風眼清晰可見，雲系結構紮實，還在持續增胖中。   圖：中央氣象局/提供

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氣象局預測強颱海神路徑。   圖：中央氣象局/提供

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馬龍

好天氣再見？週二大變天 雨區擴大炸全台

EBC東森新聞

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東森新聞

2020年9月5日 下午7:04

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7 則留言

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今（5）日天氣穩定，除了花東及中南部山區有局部午後雷陣雨，各地大多為多雲到晴的天氣，不過未來天氣可能就沒有這麼好了，中央氣象局表示，8日開始，全台局部短暫陣雨的地區會擴大，接著9日開始受到低壓帶影響，各地有局部短暫陣雨。

中央氣象局表示，明日天氣狀況和今天差不多，各地大多為多雲到晴，僅花東地區和恆春半島有局部短暫陣雨，南部山區也有零星午後雷陣雨，至於溫度方面約32至35度，提醒民眾外出記得防曬並多補充水分，不過7日開始，隨著第10號颱風往日韓移動並導引北方乾空氣南下，水氣偏少，各地大多為多雲到晴，僅恆春半島及花東地區有局部短暫陣雨，午後南部山區有局部短暫雷陣。

中央氣象局預測，8日風向轉為微弱偏南風，水氣稍增加，花東地區有局部短暫陣雨，其他地區大多為多雲午後有局部短暫雷陣雨，西半部清晨亦有零星短暫陣雨，至於9日到12日，受到低壓帶影響，降雨範圍區域擴大，各地有局部短暫陣雨的機率。

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明日天氣狀況和今天差不多，各地大多為多雲到晴。（圖／翻攝自中央氣象局）

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中央氣象局表示，颱風海神在下午2點時，中心位置在北緯24.7度，東經 131.4 度，以每小時15公里速度，向北北西進行，中心氣壓920百帕，近中心最大風速每秒53公尺，瞬間最大陣風每秒 65 公尺，七級風暴風半徑 300 公里，十級風暴風半徑 120 公里。

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颱風海神在下午2點時，以每小時15公里速度，向北北西進行。（圖／翻攝自中央氣象局）

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氣象達人彭啟明也在臉書表示「海神對台灣無直接影響，反而帶來偏北風」，偏北風會帶來較為乾燥的環境，水氣並不多，不過下週的天氣目前來看變動較多，未來等到海神颱風北上消失後，太平洋高壓有逐漸西伸趨勢，但是勢力並不夠強，台灣位於高壓邊緣，大致為西南風環境，水氣增多，天氣狀態不太穩定，迎風面中南部有局部短暫陣雨，其他地方有午後雷雨，對流發展較為旺盛的區域還是有可能出現局部較大雨勢。

（封面圖／翻攝自中央氣象局）

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