馬龍

低溫+放假 下周流感疫情恐升高 聯合新聞網 25.2k 人追蹤 追蹤 記者邱宜君／台北報導 2019年12月31日 上午5:59 p;slkine;cpos:1;subsec:hl-view;uuid:88486dbc-e7aa-3129-bb5c-6147573ea551;tar:lineit.line.me" aria-label="Line" class="line ButtonNaked My(0) nofollow O(0) Ov(v) P(0) Pos(r) Va(b) D(ib) rapid-noclick-resp react-button" href="https://lineit.line.me/share/ui?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftw.news.yahoo.com%2F%25E4%25BD%258E%25E6%25BA%25AB-%25E6%2594%25BE%25E5%2581%2587-%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%2591%25A8%25E6%25B5%2581%25E6%2584%259F%25E7%2596%25AB%25E6%2583%2585%25E6%2581%2590%25E5%258D%2587%25E9%25AB%2598-215938169.html%3Fsoc_src%3Dsocial-sh%26soc_trk%3Dli" target="_blank" data-reactid="20" style="background-color: transparent; color: rgb(88, 195, 69); text-decoration-line: none; zoom: 1; display: inline-block; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; outline: 0px; overflow: visible; padding: 0px; position: relative; vertical-align: bottom; margin-right: 0px; border-radius: 0px; border-width: 0px; width: 40px; height: 40px; line-height: 38px; max-width: 40px; 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color: rgb(86, 1, 192); text-decoration-line: none; zoom: 1; display: inline-block; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; outline: 0px; overflow: visible; padding: 0px; position: relative; vertical-align: bottom; margin-right: 0px; border-radius: 0px; border-width: 0px; width: 40px; height: 40px; line-height: 38px; max-width: 40px; min-width: 40px; max-height: 40px; min-height: 40px; border-color: rgb(86, 1, 192);"> 留言 流感防疫關鍵在於掌握先機，若能提早預知流感疫情高峰時間點，就能採取防疫因應作為、調度醫療人力。台大公衛學院最新研發出全台第一個準確預測流感疫情高峰的模式，上一周愈低溫，而當周放假天數愈多，急診感冒人潮上升愈是明顯，解釋力高達百分之八十五。 台大公衛學院流行病學與預防醫學研究所教授方啟泰、研究生林育如等四位研究者，分析二○○七年至二○一六年類流感急診人次與台北測站氣溫紀錄的變化趨勢及相關性，並以二○一七年的資料進行驗證。 結果發現，前一周環境氣溫越低、當周放假天數越多，當周類流感急診就診比率越高，結果達到統計上高度的相關和顯著。研究團隊使用上述結合疫情監測資料、氣溫資料、放假天數的預測模式，準確預測二○一七年初流感高峰時間點，解釋力達百分之八十五。 氣象預報顯示，本周二、三受東北季風影響，北台灣氣溫一路下滑，低溫將下探至十四、十五度，加上元旦放假，根據上述研究成果，下周流感疫情可能升溫。而即將到來的農曆年七天連假期間，急診會不會爆量？林育如表示，關鍵在於年前一周和農曆年第一周有沒有寒流。 「大家都知道低溫與疫情有關，研究證明低溫是一個很好的預測因子。」林育如說，長久以來，疾病管制署動態更新每周監測資料，但光靠疫情監測資料做預估，解釋力僅百分之六十五，只比擲硬幣好一點，現在加上低溫和放假等因素後，解釋力提高到百分之八十五，有助於醫療院所預先提高服務能量、準備足夠的抗病毒藥物。 至於低溫為何使流感疫情衝向高點？方啟泰表示，可能機制有三，首先，低溫增加人與人接觸率，民眾外出減少，每日約增加二小時室內停留時間，人際互動接觸，導致流感傳播率上升，容易爆發流感群聚。 其次，低溫增加流感病毒的傳染力。流感病毒外膜在低溫環境更穩定，環境存活力增加，且提高病毒能長距離透過空氣或飛沫傳播的機會。第三，低溫會降低宿主免疫力。吸入冷空氣，會抑制人類鼻腔黏膜纖毛清除能力，影響上呼吸道黏膜免疫力。 https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E4%BD%8E%E6%BA%AB-%E6%94%BE%E5%81%87-%E4%B8%8B%E5%91%A8%E6%B5%81%E6%84%9F%E7%96%AB%E6%83%85%E6%81%90%E5%8D%87%E9%AB%98-215938169.html

馬龍

天氣回暖！各地升溫至20°C以上 僅東部零星降雨

新頭殼

11k 人追蹤

追蹤

新頭殼newtalk |謝佳真 綜合報導

2020年1月2日 上午7:06

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1 則留言

今日各地氣溫回升，全台可望到達攝氏20度以上，只有東半部地區有零星降雨。   圖：閻芝霖/攝

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[新頭殼newtalk] 氣象局預報，今天（2）白天以後冷氣團減弱，環境風場轉為偏東風的天氣型態，各地氣溫回升，北部及東北部可以回升到攝氏20度以上，中南部及花東地區約24至26度。天氣上來說，由於水氣較減少，只有迎風面東半部地區有零星降雨。

此外，今晚到明晨，在台南以北、東南部(含蘭嶼、綠島)、恆春半島及澎湖、金門、馬祖沿海空曠地區仍有較強陣風，基隆北海岸，東半部(含蘭嶼、綠島)及恆春半島沿海地區仍有長浪發生的機率，而基隆北海岸仍易有突發性大浪發生，海邊活動須注意安全。

根據環保署空氣品質預報資訊：2日起大陸冷氣團減弱，中部以南位於弱風區，有利於污染物累積，高屏局部地區於清晨及晚間可能達橘色提醒等級。北部、竹苗、宜蘭及花東空品區及金門、澎湖地區為「良好」等級；中部、雲嘉南、高屏空品區及馬祖地區為「普通」等級。

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馬龍

今晨最低溫8.3度 天氣專家曝下週三變天

EBC東森新聞

22.4k 人追蹤

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東森新聞

2020年1月3日 上午8:21

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3 則留言

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今（3）日台灣各地天氣晴朗，但受到「輻射冷卻效應」影響，新竹、苗栗沿海空曠及近山區有局部11度左右低溫發生的機率，4:20時更在新竹寶山測得8.3度為平地最低溫。

 

根據中央氣象局表示，今天各地大多以多雲到晴的天氣為主，僅東半部地區有零星短暫雨，明（4）日東半部及大台北山區有局部短暫雨，其他地區及澎湖、金門、馬祖天氣為多雲到晴的好天氣。

 

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今天各地大多以多雲到晴的天氣為主。（圖／中央氣象局）

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溫度方面，今清晨西半部及東北部低溫14至16度，新竹、苗栗沿海空曠地區及近山區有局部11度左右低溫發生的機率，其他地方低溫18、19度，白天西半部高溫25、26度，東半部23、24度，西半部日夜溫差大，請民眾多加注意。此外氣象局還提醒中南部清晨至上午間仍易有局部霧發生的機率，行車用路請留意能見度變化。

 

此外根據氣象專家彭啟明表示，8日時東北季風增強，溫度將略為下降，不過到下周末時就會回溫。不過他也透露這次冬天的氣溫高出這季節該有的平均溫度頗多，「這樣下去的話，今年暖冬看能不能跟去年相媲了」，此外彭啟明也表示雖然冬天溫暖是不錯，但對許多動植物卻是相當大的壓力。

 

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氣象專家彭啟明透露這次冬天的氣溫高出這季節該有的平均溫度頗多。（圖／天氣風險 WeatherRisk）

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2018年12月到2019年2月，是1947年有紀錄以來最暖冬季，整季沒有寒流南下，只有5波冷氣團及1波強烈大陸冷氣團報到；在氣溫上更是持續創紀錄，全季日平均氣溫超過平均值2.2度，刷新歷史紀錄。

 

 

 

 

 

（封面圖／中央氣象局）

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馬龍

周末好天氣！ 各地多雲到晴「注意下周這天變天」

TVBS新聞網

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TVBS新聞

2020年1月4日 上午7:56

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留言

今天(4)天氣依舊穩定，各地白天舒適，不過早晚涼，仍要加件外套，尤其西半部日夜溫差大。

圖／中央氣象局

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另外，東北風稍微增強，基隆北海岸、東半部、北部山區有零星降雨，其他地區多雲到晴，周末適合安排戶外活動。

圖／TVBS

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風場偏東風，西半部位於背風側，擴散條件不佳，竹苗、雲嘉南、馬祖和金門空品「普通」等級，中部及高屏空品「橘色提醒」等級，建議過敏族群戴上口罩，另外，中南部清晨容易有局部霧，開車留意能見度。

圖／TVBS

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穩定的好天氣，一路持續到下周二，下周三周四東北季風增強，北部、宜蘭高溫降幅6到7度，轉為整天偏涼的天氣，北部、東半部雲量增多，並有局部短暫雨，不過中南部依舊維持多雲到晴。

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馬龍

天氣持續穩定！全台多雲到晴氣溫偏暖

新頭殼

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新頭殼newtalk |謝佳真 綜合報導

2020年1月5日 上午6:58

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留言

今天（5）仍是穩定的天氣型態，全台天氣以多雲到晴為主，白天高溫約在25度左右。   圖：葉宜哲/提供

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[新頭殼newtalk] 今天(5日)仍屬於穩定的天氣型態，東半部地區偶爾有零星短暫雨，但整體而言全台天氣以多雲到晴為主，白天各地高溫24、25度間，舒適偏暖。

不過，各地夜間清晨還是偏涼，低溫15至18度間，水氣偏少，若搭配輻射冷卻現象感受上可能更低溫，西半部日夜溫差相當大。氣象局提醒，早出晚歸別忘了多加件衣物，並根據氣溫變化適時調整穿著。

另外，清晨中南部地區有局部霧影響能見度的機率，外出、行車請注意安全。

根據環保署空氣品質預報資訊：5日中南部地區於清晨有局部霧發生的機率，容易影響能見度，清晨至白天東北風稍增強，竹苗以北擴散條件稍好轉，中部及雲嘉南受渦流影響，污染物濃度易上升，晚間轉為偏東風，西半部位於背風側，垂直擴散及水平擴散條件轉差，污染物易持續累積。

北部、宜蘭、花東空品區及澎湖為「良好」等級；竹苗空品區及馬祖、金門為「普通」等級；雲嘉南及高屏空品區為「橘色提醒」等級，雲嘉南清晨及夜間局部地區可能達紅色警示等級；中部空品區為「紅色警示」等級。

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2020年1月7日 上午6:57

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1 則留言

台灣各地今（7）日多雲到晴，北部白天高溫約25℃，中南部更可來到29℃，但明天起東北季風報到，周四不排除增強為大陸冷氣團，屆時中部以北低溫約14至16℃，局部地區甚至恐僅有11至12℃，溫差頗大、忽熱忽冷猶如洗三溫暖，提醒民眾務必留意天氣變化。

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台灣與外島地區今日天氣與溫度預測。（圖片來源：中央氣象局，下同）

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氣象局表示今各地多雲到晴，僅花東有零星短暫雨，北部白天高溫約25℃、中南部約27至29℃、宜花東約26至28℃；另清晨針對連江縣發布濃霧特報，能見度不足200公尺，請駕駛人特別注意。

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台北市未來1周溫度預測。

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氣象局提醒明起東北季風報到，周四不排除增強為大陸冷氣團，屆時中部以北低溫約14至16℃，局部地區甚至恐僅有11至12℃，這波冷空氣周五、六將減弱，白天溫度回升，僅東半部有局部短暫雨，其它地區多雲到晴，但周日又有另一波東北季風報到，北部低溫約14至15℃、中南部約16至17℃、東半部約17至18℃，且北部、東半部與中南部山區將有局部短暫雨。

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變天！今晚至明晨最冷 苗栗以北低溫探11℃

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2020年1月8日 上午6:44

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4 則留言

台灣今（8）起受東北季風增強影響愈晚愈冷，強度接近大陸冷氣團等級，尤其今晚到明晨將是最冷時刻，苗栗以北低溫約13至14℃，沿海空曠地區更下探11至12℃，北東有零星降雨，其它地區則為多雲到晴，周日又有另一波東北季風伴隨鋒面報到，低溫下探13℃，屆時高山有機會降雪，提醒民眾注意保暖。

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台灣與外島地區今日天氣與溫度預測。（圖片來源：中央氣象局，下同）

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氣象局表示今晨中部以北低溫約15至18℃，白天高溫在桃園以北也僅19至20℃，其它地區約23至27℃；另針對基隆市、新北市、桃園市、新竹市、新竹縣、苗栗縣、台中市、彰化縣、雲林縣、嘉義縣、台南市、屏東縣、宜蘭縣、花蓮縣、台東縣、澎湖縣、金門縣與連江縣發布陸上強風特報。

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氣象局今晨針對基隆市、新北市、桃園市、新竹市、新竹縣、苗栗縣、台中市、彰化縣、雲林縣、嘉義縣、台南市、屏東縣、宜蘭縣、花蓮縣、台東縣、澎湖縣、金門縣與連江縣發布陸上強風特報。

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氣象局提醒今晚到明晨將是最冷時刻，苗栗以北低溫約13至14℃，沿海空曠地區更下探11至12℃，周五、六東北季風減弱、氣溫回升，周六投票日大致為晴到多雲，但周日又有另一波東北季風伴隨鋒面報到，屆時北東有雨，高山有機會降雪，至下周二東北季風減弱，氣溫又開始回升。

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台北市未來1周溫度預測。

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「魚鱗天」透玄機！北部東北部明整天涼冷 周四清晨低溫不到12度

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21 則留言

中央氣象局臉書專頁「報天氣」今晚po文指出，明天(8日)東北季風增強，北部及東北部整天涼冷，高溫僅18至21度左右，與今天高溫相比降幅約7、8度，外出請添加衣物、注意保暖，其他高溫約23至26度，感受上舒適暖和，但早晚天氣涼冷，中南部日夜溫差大，可達10度左右；天氣方面，宜花東地區及基隆北海岸降雨機率稍增，大台北東區偶有零星雨，其他地區仍為晴時多雲的天氣。

（取自臉書報天氣）

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「報天氣」表示，明天上午起台南以北、東半部(含蘭嶼、綠島)、恆春半島及澎湖、金門、馬祖沿海空曠地區將有9至10級強陣風，海邊活動或海上作業請特別注意安全。

至於一周天氣，「報天氣」說，周四(9日)東北季風或大陸冷氣團影響，北部及東北部天氣都較冷，其他地區早晚也比較冷；周四清晨由於冷空氣加上輻射冷卻效應影響，預估中部以北及東北部低溫只有14度左右，沿海空曠地區和近山區可能出現12度以下低溫，南部及花東低溫則在16至18度間，提醒大家應注意保暖措施以免受涼；天氣方面，迎風面的東半部地區雲量增多並有局部短暫雨，其他地區大致仍為多雲到晴，整體而言水氣並不會太多。

周五、周六(10日、11日)東北季風或大陸冷氣團減弱，氣溫回升，但清晨仍有涼意，各地為多雲到晴的天氣，僅剩東半部地區有小範圍降雨。

「報天氣」說，下周日(12日)鋒面通過及東北季風再度增強，下周一(13日)東北季風影響，這兩天北部及東北部地區天氣將再度轉涼，其他地區早晚也比較涼，北部及東半部地區有短暫雨，由於水氣較多，中南部山區也可能有局部短暫雨，其他地區雲量則偏多。

下周二(14日)東北季風減弱，氣溫回升，各地大多為多雲到晴的天氣，僅剩東半部地區有小範圍降雨。

另外，「報天氣」提及，這兩天天空有許多絲縷狀和魚鱗狀的雲層，這些雲層的正式名稱叫做「卷雲」和「卷積雲」。有句氣象俗諺：「魚鱗天，不雨也風顛。」所提到的魚鱗天，其實就是布滿卷積雲的天空，當遠方有低氣壓或鋒面接近時，高空的雲層就會先透露一些秘密，早期氣象資訊不發達時，往往是很好的預測指標！

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一夜狂降9度！鋒面報到又濕又冷 高山可能降雪

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陳儷文

2020年1月10日 上午7:09

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2 則留言

檢視相片

12日天氣轉為濕冷，高山地區有降雪機會。（圖／報系資料照）

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今、明（10、11日）2天白天東北季風逐漸減弱，天氣恢復穩定，氣溫回升，各地大多為多雲到晴的天氣。周日（12）開始天氣轉為濕冷，北台灣溫度可能從最高26度一夜下降到17度，甚至有機會為高山地區帶來降雪。

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東北季風和鋒面將讓天氣轉濕冷，台北市高溫預測一日之內狂降9度。 （圖／中央氣象局）

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中央氣象局指出，今日各地陽光露臉，北部、東半部地區白天高溫約23至25度，中南部地區為26、27度，各地大多為晴到多雲的天氣，僅東半部地區偶有零星雨。明（11）日投票日東北季風減弱，氣溫回升但清晨偏涼，白天各地為多雲到晴，僅東半部地區有局部短暫雨，入夜後水氣稍增，恆春半島有局部短暫雨。

檢視相片

11日投票日白天天氣穩定，深夜開始鋒面通過、東北季風增強。（圖／中央氣象局）

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周日鋒面通過、東北季風增強，下周一（13）日東北季風增強，北部、東北部將再度轉涼，其他地區早晚也較涼。這波東北季風也將替北部、東北部帶來短暫雨，中南部山區也可能有局部短暫雨，其他地區雲量偏多。

氣象專家吳德榮表示，明日空氣品質較差，周日隨著冷空氣報到，天氣轉為濕冷，降雨範圍影響中部以北，山區也可能出現降雪，氣溫明顯下降至20度。下周一氣溫繼續下滑至17度，台北市更可能會出現14度的低溫，空曠地區也可能會下探12至13度。

更多 CTWANT 報導

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明起氣溫回升 投票日白天好天氣深夜又變了

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2020年1月9日 下午9:26

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48 則留言

中央氣象局預報指出，明天及後天投票日東北季風減弱，氣溫回升，日夜溫差大，各地大多多雲到晴，東半部有局部短暫雨，但後天深夜開始，東北季風增強，天氣轉涼，北部、東半部地區及中南部山區有短暫雨，其他地區多雲。

投票日白天好天氣，深夜開始，東北季風增強，天氣轉涼。（中央社／資料照片）

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氣象局說，今晚到明天清晨東半部地區及南部地區低溫16至19度，其中中部以北地區水氣偏少，輻射冷卻效應下仍可能出現14、15度，甚至更低的低溫，明天氣與今日類似，各地陽光露臉，北部及東半部地區高溫約23至25度，中南部地區為26、27度；天氣方面，各地大多為晴到多雲的天氣，僅東半部地區偶有零星雨。

此外，氣象局提醒，馬祖地區以及夜間清晨的中南部地區易有局部霧或低雲影響能見度，行車用路、航班資訊上也要多加注意。

中央氣象局臉書「報天氣」也發文指出，投票日當天的天氣很不錯呢！投完票，就可以出去走走啦，但是，好天氣只有白天喔，深夜開始鋒面通過及東北季風增強，迎風面又要下雨囉！出門要記得攜帶雨具。

根據環保署空氣品質預報資訊，明天東北季風逐漸減弱，環境風場轉為偏東風，西半部擴散條件轉差，清晨及夜間風速較弱，中部近山區及南部污染物易累積，午後須留意中南部地區受光化作用影響致臭氧濃度上升；馬祖、中南部地區易有局部霧或低雲影響能見度。宜蘭、花東空品區及澎湖地區為「良好」等級，北部、竹苗空品區及馬祖、金門地區為「普通」等級；中部、雲嘉南及高屏空品區為「橘色提醒」等級。

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