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開戰？伊朗號召1人1元 8千萬美元懸賞川普人頭

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2020年1月6日 上午10:22

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227 則留言

[新頭殼newtalk] 影片出處：YouTube/The Telegraph

伊朗革命衛隊將領蘇雷曼尼（Qassem Soleimani，前譯蘇萊曼尼）上週遭到美軍刺殺身亡，他的屍身5日運回伊朗，成千上萬伊朗人民參與迎靈遊行。遊行主辦單位發起1人1美元捐獻，要募8000萬美元取美國總統川普（Donald Trump）的項上人頭。川普回嗆，如果伊朗對任何美國人或目標發動攻擊，美國將迅速全面地進行反擊。

美國與親伊朗武裝組織近來衝突不斷，去年12月27日，武裝組織「真主黨旅」（Kataib Hezbollah）突襲，發射至少30支火箭砲攻擊伊拉克北部城市基爾庫克（Kirkuk）一個美軍軍事設施，造成1名美國防承包商死亡，美軍隨即在29日對「真主黨旅」在伊拉克及敘利亞境內基地發動空襲，造成至少25人喪命。之後美駐伊拉克大使館又在31日遭到親伊朗民眾包圍焚燒，美國指責德黑蘭當局是幕後黑手，於是在3日瞄準目標，趁伊朗革命衛隊將領蘇雷曼尼受伊拉克準軍事組織邀請訪問時，在巴格達國際機場（Baghdad International Airport）連射3支地獄火火箭，狙殺蘇雷曼尼與親伊朗的伊拉克-伊朗軍事指揮官穆罕迪斯（Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis）。

蘇雷曼尼當場被炸死，引起國際震驚，伊朗揚言報復攻擊美方據點，而伊拉克國會也表決通過驅逐駐紮美軍決議，肯亞1美軍基地被攻擊，已有人員傷亡，美伊戰爭一觸即發。

最新消息傳來，德黑蘭當局5日什葉派聖城馬什哈德（Mashhad）為蘇雷曼尼舉辦喪禮遊行時，主辦單位在遊行中高呼1人捐1美元，就有8000萬美元可以懸賞，看誰能拿到川普的項上人頭，就能拿走8000萬美元賞金。另外，伊朗國會議員阿博法拉比（Abolfazl Abutorabi）也在議會公開會議上，威脅要攻擊美國白宮；伊朗並且宣布，不再遵守2015年簽訂的核協議的任何限制，該國82空降師的數千名傘兵，繼續向中東部署中。

對此，剛從海湖莊園（Mar-a-Lago）回到白宮的川普，在推特上回嗆，如果「如果伊朗對任何美國個人或目標發動襲擊，美國將迅速全面地進行反擊，而且可能採取不成比例的方式。此類法律聲明不是必需的，但是仍然會發出」！

影片出處：美國白宮臉書

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2020年2月6日 上午8:15

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1 則留言

圖／達志影像美聯社

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美國總統川普的彈劾審訊，今天在參議院進行表決。果然如外界預期，川普被指控的濫權及妨礙國會調查罪名都得到無罪宣判。

https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E5%BF%AB%E8%A8%8A-%E5%8F%83%E9%99%A2%E8%A1%A8%E6%B1%BA%E5%B7%9D%E6%99%AE%E5%BD%88%E5%8A%BE%E6%A1%88-%E5%85%A9%E9%A0%85%E7%BD%AA%E5%90%8D%E7%9A%86%E5%88%A4%E7%84%A1%E7%BD%AA-001500948.html

馬龍

這個也跟馬龍的預測方向相符合，貿易戰可能會轉向實體戰爭。

但是，商人出身的川普一直避戰，避戰，犯了大忌！

全世界的人都想幹掉川普，但誰有能力？

不是伊朗、北韓、土耳其人等等，而是美國當地的軍火商──擋人財路啦！

類似甘迺迪總統被暗殺的歷史有可能重演，殺手還會被殺手殺掉，不會破案，沒有結果。

該打就打吧，川普大帝！天佑美國！

（流浪占星師 馬龍 2-22-2020）

五角大廈官員示警：美須準備好 可能與中軍事衝突

2020-02-22 05:30:00

https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/paper/1353752

馬龍

準確預測30年美國大選！學者警告：肺炎恐壓垮川普「連任之路」

新頭殼

12.3k 人追蹤

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新頭殼newtalk |周家豪 綜合報導

2020年2月28日 下午1:25

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[新頭殼newtalk] 武漢肺炎（COVID-19）疫情衝擊全球政治情勢，過去曾準確預測1984年至今9次美國總統大選結果的學者希特曼（Allan Lichtman）警告，這次武漢肺炎疫情大爆發，可能是壓垮美國總統川普連任之路的「最後一根稻草」。

英國《獨立報》報導，於美利堅大學（American University）任教的政治史學者希特曼表示，這次新型冠狀病毒危機可能會逐漸解除，但也可能開始在全球流行，恐怕將導致美國經濟衰退，「這將成為川普的判決書」。

美國總統大選於11月即將到來，這波疫情也成為經濟的極大隱憂。希特曼表示，沒有人能準確預測疫情的發展，但許多大型企業、權威機構都已經大幅調降他們今年的經濟預測。

針對川普的個人特質，希特曼則認為，他缺乏成功的重大外交政策、持續傳出醜聞，且2018年中期選舉共和黨損失慘重；因此面對這場選戰，川普的連任之路可說是困難重重。

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馬龍

馬龍

14分鐘 · 

公開

一名華裔科學家劉彬在研究武漢病毒有重大發現前遭殺害，殺手隨後被發現死在車上，斷線？典型的「國家機器」、「特務」手法！這個好比多年前的「江南案」哦？美國可以容許中國特務在境內殺人嗎？一定會對中國追查到底！等著瞧！

馬龍

馬龍

6分鐘 · 

公開

川普在昨天、前天才說，武漢肺炎所造成的死亡超過偷襲珍珠港、911恐攻～～能夠體認到這一點非常好，喚醒了「美洲雄師」，認清中國想要獨霸世界的野心，此仇不報非總統！二戰時，也是珍珠港事件以後才覺醒參戰，打敗日本等軸心國。美國加油！

馬龍

馬龍

4分鐘 · 

公開

約一個禮拜前，川普在記者會上大聲地說中國正在竭盡一切所能的要阻止他連任～～非常好，體認到這一點，不只是公事公辦，也是私人恩怨了！那就要好好地對付中國，追殺到底！徹底瓦解中共！不然，川普您就無法連任了！實體戰爭不是不可能哦！

馬龍

「我不想跟習近平講話！」 川普轟陸毀滅性傷害

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TVBS新聞

2020年5月15日 下午11:25

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31 則留言

美國新冠肺炎確診人數139萬，死亡超過8.4萬人。「美國吹哨人」疫苗專家布萊特，上眾議院聽證會呼籲，再不全面擬訂防疫計畫，美國將面臨現代史上最黑暗的冬天。但川普卻要專家靠邊閃，把精力對準中國大陸，說就算簽100個貿易協議，都彌補不了大陸疫情帶來的毀滅性傷害。

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不滿中國大陸對疫情處理失當，還燒到美國，川普揚言要跟大陸切八段。

美國總統川普：「他們根本不該讓這件事發生，我才剛簽下偉大的貿易協定，現在一切都不一樣了，墨水都還沒乾咧，然後疫情就來了。」

美國總統川普近來火力全開，新冠肺炎的這筆帳，要跟大陸好好算清楚。

美國總統川普：「疫情在某個時間點爆發，明明可以阻止，它也應該被阻止，當時美國要求過去幫忙，他們(中國)說不用，他們不需要我們幫忙，我想說沒關係，他們應該知道自己在做什麼，他們要不是愚蠢無能，要不就是故意的兩者之一。」

川普政府防疫不力，成為千夫所指，美國導演傑瑞奇出錢買紐約時報廣場廣告，用「川普死亡鐘」字樣，再加上累計染疫死亡人數開嘲諷。

川普把氣全出在大陸身上，專訪罵不夠，上推特繼續罵：他寫下：「與中國打交道是一件非常昂貴的事。我們剛剛達成了一項偉大的貿易協議，墨水幾乎未乾，世界就被來自中國的瘟疫襲擊。100份貿易協議都彌補不了，包括逝去的無辜生命！」只是隨後川普又否認，表示自己氣歸氣，但可沒說要切斷美中關係。

大陸外交部發言人趙立堅：「如果美國政客真的把美國人民的，生命安全和健康放在第一位，就應立即停止對別國的甩鍋和抹黑。」

美國新冠疫情還在燒，但川普視察賓州口罩供應中心，口罩不戴就是不戴，還跟防疫權威佛奇唱反調，佛奇警告太快解封會有嚴重後果，川普卻要專家靠邊閃。

美國總統川普：「在重開學校方面，我當然不同意佛奇說法。」

「美版吹哨人」疫苗專家布萊特最近出席眾議院聽證會，向川普政府喊話。

疫苗專家布萊特：「我們需要全國性檢測策略，病毒就在這無所不在，我們得追蹤接觸史隔離擋下疫情。」

否則如果秋天，新冠肺炎捲土重來。

疫苗專家布萊特：「如果沒有更好的(防疫)計畫，2020年可能會是，現代史上最黑暗的冬天。」

美國組織「共產主義受難者紀念基金會」，對1382名美國成年人做民調，69%支持大陸應該對疫情負責，67%在疫情後當大陸視為敵人，只有6%仍當大陸是盟友。

疫情下，美國肯塔基州1/3勞工都失業了，申請失業救濟比例，全美國第一，肯塔基州主要產業是製造業，占了全州勞動人口的12.9%，比全國比例還要高，現在兩大雇用企業Toyato和Ford都關了。

肯塔基大學商業經濟教授MichaelClark：「那些勞工，要去遠方工作，如同你能想像的，對他們來說是很艱難的。」

疫情全面重創美國經濟，慘烈程度實在難以想像。

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馬龍

驚！2020年美國總統大選最新民調，拜登大幅領先川普！

風傳媒

15.5k 人追蹤

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閻紀宇

2020年5月31日 下午10:18

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48 則留言

今年美國總統選舉再過5個月就要投票（11月3日），尋求連任的川普總統遭新冠肺炎疫情重創聲望與形象，民主黨候選人、前副總統拜登以沉穩作風與豐富經驗取勝。《華盛頓郵報》與美國廣播公司（ABC）5月31日公布最新民調，拜登的支持率領先川普已達10個百分點。

根據這份民調，如果今天就投票，美國已登記選民有53%會投給拜登（Joe Biden），支持川普（Donald Trump）的選民僅43%，相差10%是今年開年迄今最大的差距。在「一定會投票」的選民中，拜登也以51%領先川普的46%。不過美國總統選舉採行特殊的「選舉人團」（electoral college）制度，贏得普選票不代表贏得選舉，2016年的希拉蕊．柯林頓（Hillary Clinton）就輸給川普。

川普「基本盤」動員力仍遠高於拜登

不過川普支持者的忠誠與熱忱明顯高於拜登支持者：84%的川普支持者表示11月一定會投給川普，87%表示他們「熱烈支持」川普，「非常熱烈支持」者也高達64%；相較之下，拜登支持者在這3方面只有68%、74%、31%。這顯示川普對「基本盤」的動員力遠高於拜登，也突顯「催票」將是這場選戰的關鍵之一。

對於新冠肺炎疫情，多數選民認為拜登比川普更能控制疫情（50%對42%）；對於振與遭疫情拖累的美國經濟，兩人平分秋色（47%對47%）。

對於川普的整體施政表現，53%選民給予負評，正面評價者僅有45%。對於川普處理新冠肺炎疫情，53%選民給予負評，正面評價者僅有46%。

拜登「誠實、值得信賴、有同理心」

就個人形象而言，拜登與川普都有待加強，但拜登還是略勝一籌。46%選民欣賞拜登，48%不欣賞。42%選民欣賞川普，55%不欣賞。48%選民認為拜登誠實、值得信賴，川普只有35%。45%選民認為拜登有同理心（能理解民眾遭遇的問題），川普只有38%。

65歲以上高齡選民的支持，是川普2016年擊敗希拉蕊的關鍵之一，但目前拜登以54%領先川普的44%。川普2016年在白人女性選票上贏過希拉蕊，如今則以45%對51%落後拜登。

以地域而言，川普在美國南部較受支持，拜登則得到東北部與西部選民青睞。在密西根州、賓州、威斯康辛州、俄亥俄州與愛荷華州等搖擺州（swing states），拜登支持率以51%領先川普的46%。

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